Lark Funding just launched their Instant Funding Program and is offering you Munchers 11% off with the code JANUARY2025.

Go get those pips. 

☕️ GM Munchers! It’s 2025, and if your resolution was to stop revenge trading, congratulations—you’ve already lasted longer than Jerome Powell’s rate cut promises.

On today’s menu:

• Everything You Need To Watch In 2025 👀

• Will Trudeau Resign Today? 🇨🇦 

What Will Move Markets in 2025? Spoiler: A Lot.

Happy New Year, Munchers! 🎉

We survived 2024—an absolute rollercoaster of rate cuts, Bitcoin booms, and Canada... well, falling apart.

Now, it’s January 6th, and the first official trading week of 2025 is here.

Let’s kick it off by recapping what’s on the radar for this year.

Here’s everything traders need to watch in 2025:

1. Jerome Powell: The Rate Cut Maestro 🎻

Just a few months ago, the market expected three rate cuts in 2025.

But after the December Fed meeting, that expectation has dropped to two.

Powell’s cautious tone is keeping the Dollar flexing its muscles like it’s at a bodybuilding competition.

🧐 What This Means for Traders:

A stronger Dollar could put pressure on commodities and emerging market currencies.

Keep an eye on USD strength and how it pairs against weaker currencies like the AUD, CAD, and NZD.

2. Bitcoin: Boom or Bust? 💣

Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $108,000 in December, but we’ve since pulled back 9%.

This isn’t just about crypto bros trying to get rich (again).

Bitcoin gives us a pulse on market sentiment.

• When Bitcoin booms: Risk-on currencies like AUD, CAD, and NZD tend to shine.

• When Bitcoin busts: Defensive plays like USD, JPY, and CHF come into focus.

📈 Pro Tip: Watch BTC to spot sentiment shifts before they hit the Forex markets.

3. Canada’s Election: Will Trudeau Survive? 🍁

Polymarket odds are at 92% that Justin Trudeau is out by April (or even today, more on that below).

The Conservative leader, Pierre Poilievre, is expected to take over.

What does this mean for the CAD?

• Will political change finally bring strength to the Loonie?

• Or will Canada’s economy (and currency) continue to flounder under tariffs and weak GDP growth?

🧐 What We’re Doing: Keeping a close eye on Trudeau statements and CAD pairs.

4. Trump 2.0: The Dollar’s Wild Ride Continues 🦅

Trump officially takes office this month.

In his first term, he openly said he didn’t want the Dollar to be too strong.

With rate cuts on the table, will we see him push for a weaker Dollar again?

💡 Trade Tip: Expect volatility in both directions for USD. Watch for any comments from Trump on the Dollar, the Fed’s policies and the ongoing war in Ukraine.

5. China’s Economy: A Sleeper Crisis? 😴

China’s economy is in shambles. 🇨🇳 

The 10-year bond yield hit a historic low of 1.59%, and their real estate market lost $18 trillion in value.

⚠️ Why This Matters:

• The AUD is a proxy for the Chinese Yuan, so Aussie traders need to pay close attention.

• A full-blown collapse could send risk sentiment spiraling.

6. Stocks: Can They Keep the Momentum? 📉📈

The S&P500 returned 23% in 2024—an absolutely insane year. Will 2025 bring another rally, or is a correction overdue?

🚨 Our Play:
If the stock market dips, we’re buying it. Simple.

Anything Else? Yep.

• Rebalancing Volatility: Funds are still repositioning after last year’s massive moves. Expect some whipsaws this month.

• Gold’s Resilience: Keep an eye on XAUUSD. If rate cuts come through and the Dollar weakens, Gold could shine brighter.

• Oil: With geopolitical tensions bubbling (looking at you, Middle East), oil could see wild swings this year.

The Bottom Line

2025 is shaping up to be another massive year for traders.

Whether it’s rate cuts, Bitcoin moves, or Canada’s political soap opera, there’s plenty of action ahead.

Our strategy?

Stay patient, stay nimble, and stay ready to pounce on opportunities.

Here’s to crushing 2025. 🎯

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FOREX

BREAKING: The CAD Surges On Rumours of Trudeau Resigning 🇨🇦 

Alright, Munchers, grab your hockey sticks and maple syrup, because Canada just dropped a bombshell—and the CAD is eating it up.

Rumors are flying faster than a Zamboni on ice: Justin Trudeau might resign as Prime Minister, and traders are loving it.

Trudeau: Jumping Before He's Pushed?

Word on the street is that Trudeau, who’s been running the show for nine years, might announce his resignation before a key caucus meeting on Wednesday.

Why?

Well, let’s just say his poll numbers are making Dogecoin look like a stable investment.

Here’s what he’s up against:

• Trump’s Tariff Threats: The U.S. is thinking about slapping a 25% tariff on Canadian imports. Ouch.

• Resignation Season: Key allies are leaving his side faster than Leafs fans in the playoffs.

• Poll Pain: Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is skating circles around Trudeau, with Polymarket giving a 92% chance that Trudeau’s out by April.

The resignation rumours have the CAD flexing like it just benched 225.

Traders see this as a potential turning point for Canada’s economy, which has been… let’s just say, not great lately.

The CAD: Finally a Win?

The Canadian Dollar has been the runt of the G7 currency litter lately, thanks to:

• Lagging GDP growth: The U.S. economy is 50% richer per capita than Canada. Yes, 50%.

• Trump's Tariffs: Nothing like a little trade war to weaken the loonie.

But news of Trudeau’s possible resignation has sparked a rally.

Why?

Markets love fresh leadership.

If Trudeau bows out and Poilievre steps in, we could see more pro-business policies, which is exactly what traders are betting on.

What It Means for Traders

This is where things get spicy.

Political drama like this can be a trader’s best friend—or worst enemy. Here’s how we’re thinking about it:

• Volatility Is Opportunity: Pairs like USD/CAD, GBP/CAD, and AUD/CAD are on our radar. When the news drops, so do the pips (if you’re on the right side).

• Election Watch: If Poilievre takes over, we might see long-term CAD strength—assuming he can deliver on promises. No pressure, Pierre.

• Wildcards: Remember, Trump’s tariffs could squash any CAD gains faster than a Timbit in traffic.

The Maple-Flavored Bottom Line 🍁 

Trudeau’s potential resignation could shake up Canada’s economy and the CAD—but don’t let the headlines fool you.

It’s still a game of patience and precision.

Keep your eyes on the news, your trades tight, and for the love of poutine, don’t overleverage.

Also, we might need to crown Pierre Poilievre the King of the North if this rally sticks. But hey, anything’s possible in 2025. 🇨🇦

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