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- π BREAKING: The Fed Chair Just Said A Rate Hike Is On The Table
π BREAKING: The Fed Chair Just Said A Rate Hike Is On The Table

The Wall Street loophole regular traders are exploiting
There's a window opening in the market right now that favors regular people over the big money.
Legendary trader Tim Sykes, creator of over 50 millionaire students, says it's the biggest opportunity of his career for people with jobs, families, and lives outside the market.
He just closed a trade using it for $9,177 in profit. He didn't watch a screen all weekend.
But he says the window is closing. Fast.

βοΈ GM Munchers! Happy Friday. May your weekend be like yesterday's market: quiet, boring, and refusing to do anything that would require you to check your phone.
On todayβs menu:
π Mark August 12th On Your Calendar
π Papa John's Crashed 17%
πΏ Tasty Movers & Shakers
π€ This Stock Chart Is Insane
Yesterdayβs numbers:
S&P 500 | 7,709 | -0.18% |
Nasdaq | 26,348 | -0.05% |
Dow Jones | 53,885 | -0.85% |
Bitcoin | ~64,400 | -0.30% |
BREAKING NEWS
π Mark August 12th On Your Calendar
Big news dropped yesterday that every investor needs to know about. According to a new Financial Times report, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is now prepared to raise interest rates as soon as September, if one specific number comes in hot. That number lands August 12th, and it may decide where this entire market goes next.
Here's what just changed. Until now, Warsh had been vague about his next move. Yesterday's reporting made it concrete: people familiar with his thinking say he'd back a 0.25% rate hike if the upcoming inflation data signals prices are heating back up. That's a real shift from "watching and waiting" to "ready to act," and it puts a hard date on the market's biggest risk.
Why August 12th? That's when the July inflation report, specifically core CPI, comes out. It's the last major inflation reading before the Fed's September meeting, and it's the exact number Warsh's Fed cares about most.
π Hot number = hike risk: If inflation runs hotter than expected, a September rate hike moves from "maybe" to "likely."
π² The odds are already moving: On Polymarket, the chance of a rate hike sat at 77% on July 27th and has since slipped to about 64%. Yesterday's news could swing them again.
π A political wrinkle: Per a Fox News report, President Trump is reportedly in routine phone contact with Warsh, discussing everything from Iran to AI to the economy. Trump has long pushed for lower rates, which reignites the old question of Fed independence. Take it for what it is, but it's part of the backdrop.
The Munch Take: We wanted to get this in front of you now, because this is the kind of heads-up that's only useful before the event, not after. The whole market is currently priced for a friendly Fed, and Warsh just reminded everyone that "friendly" is conditional. If August 12th's inflation number comes in hot, the record-high market could get rattled fast, and the rate-sensitive names, expensive AI stocks, housing, anything that hates higher rates, would feel it first. Don't panic and don't pre-position on a guess. Just circle August 12th, because it's now a day the market could move hard in either direction.
Top 9 AI Stocks For August (Ad)
Most investors are still crowded into the same mega-cap AI names. But when rates stay higher and headlines stay messy, leadership can shift fast toward the companies actually supplying chips, cloud capacity, and mission-critical data tools
If you want a clearer view of where AI money may rotate next, review the 9-stock list here.
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STOCK OF THE DAY
π Papa John's Crashed 17% After Killing Its Own Buyout Hopes

Is nothing sacred anymore?
Papa John's ($PZZA) just got demolished, dropping 17% yesterday, and the story is juicier than a simple bad quarter. For weeks, the stock had been floating on hope of a takeover by private equity firm Irth Capital. They had put in a $47-per-share bid to buy the company and investors piled in betting the deal would close.
Then management basically said: no thanks, we're not selling, we're fixing this ourselves. To fund that turnaround, they suspended their dividend entirely. That combination of no buyout plus no dividend, ripped the floor out from under the stock.
Why Cut A 7.5% Dividend? That eye-popping yield was a trap, not a gift. A dividend yield gets that high one of two ways: the company raises the payout, or the stock collapses so far that a normal dividend looks huge by comparison. This was the second kind. Papa John's stock is down almost 80% over five years, which inflated the yield. The company was paying out cash it increasingly couldn't spare while sales fell. Suspending it frees up $70-80 million a year to invest in the business. Painful, but arguably responsible.
The Numbers Behind The Mess: North America same-store sales fell 8.3% on fewer orders. Revenue has dropped 9% year over year. The company just cut its full-year outlook. People are simply buying less Papa John's.

π The Bull Case:
π° A buyer saw real value: Someone offered $47 a share. The stock trades far below that now, so if a deal ever revives, there's big upside.
π International is growing: Overseas comparable sales rose for a seventh straight quarter, a rare bright spot.
π§ The dividend cut funds a real fix: That freed-up cash goes toward menu resets, marketing, and better restaurant economics.
β Bonus Report: Buy this stock tomorrow (by Chaikin Analytics)
π» The Bear Case:
π The core business is shrinking: An 8.3% drop in North American sales is ugly, and turnarounds in food are slow and uncertain.
π·οΈ The safety net is gone: Income investors who owned this for the dividend just lost their reason to hold, and they're selling.
βοΈ Brutal competition: Domino's, Little Caesars, and every delivery app are fighting for the same shrinking pizza dollar.
On A Short Squeeze: What are the odds this becomes the next meme stock? About 12% of the float is sold short, with a days-to-cover ratio around 3.2. That's elevated, enough to add fuel if good news hits, but it's not the 20%+ powder keg you need for a violent GameStop-style squeeze. A squeeze here is possible but not the base case.
The Munch Take: So what makes this thing rip higher? Realistically, one of two things. Either the buyout comes back to life (a new bid, or Irth returning), which would instantly reprice the stock toward that $47 level, or the turnaround actually starts working and North American sales stop falling. The dividend cut, as much as it hurts today, is the kind of move that can set up a real recovery, because a company bleeding sales shouldn't be shipping its cash out the door. But "can" is doing heavy lifting. Right now you're betting on either a deal that management just walked away from or a food turnaround that hasn't shown a single quarter of progress. That's a speculative bet, not an investment, and the 7.5% yield that made it tempting is now gone. I'd want to see North American sales actually stabilize before calling any bottom. My wife asked if we should buy the dip since she likes their garlic sauce. I said liking the garlic sauce and liking the stock are different things. She shrugged and ordered the pizza anyways.
MARKET OVERVIEW
πΏ Tasty Movers & Shakers
π FREE BONUS: Your free book is about to expire (via Profits Run)
π¬ $WBD Warner Bros. Discovery rose 1.66% as record streaming revenue proved HBO Max still has real momentum. Turns out people will always pay for good TV, even when they're canceling everything else.
π $JOBY Joby Aviation climbed 5.65% after beating expectations and raising its 2026 revenue outlook. The flying-taxi dream still isn't profitable, but the market liked seeing the numbers move the right direction.
ποΈ $ETSY Etsy fell 4.14% on plans to cut about 220 jobs in a restructuring. Don't tell my wife, half her weekend hobbies depend on that site staying alive.
π΄ $PTON Peloton slipped 15.57% even after posting its first-ever annual profit. Classic setup: the company finally made money, then guided for weaker sales, and Wall Street only heard the second part.
π $Z Zillow sank 7.4% after a surprise quarterly loss, weak guidance, and plans to cut over 500 jobs. When the company that tracks home prices for a living stumbles, it tells you how frozen the housing market really is.
π Pre-Market Fuel
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