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- 🚨 BREAKING: The Trade War Is Over?
🚨 BREAKING: The Trade War Is Over?

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☕️ Happy Thursday, Munchers! The only thing flatter than Tesla’s stock today was my wife’s face when I said I “cleaned” the kitchen by pushing crumbs behind the toaster.
On today’s menu:
📉 Oil Pops, Dollar Drops, Traders Shrug
😐 VIX Hits a Snooze Button
🕊️ Elon Apologizes To Trump
❌ This Billionaire Just Sent Out A Warning
🇪🇺 The Euro Is In Trouble
Yesterday’s numbers:
S&P 500 | 6,022 | -0.27% |
Nasdaq | 19,615 | -0.50% |
Dow Jones | 42,865 | +0.00% |
Bitcoin | $108,200 | -1.76% |
BREAKING NEWS
🧲 Trump’s Trade Deal Is Full of… Magnets?
Donald J. Trump Truth Social 06.11.25 08:04 AM EST
— MAGA Resource (@MAGAResource)
6:39 PM • Jun 11, 2025
Trump says the U.S.–China trade deal is done. Kind of. It’s “subject to final approval with President Xi and me,” which sounds like when my wife says she might let me buy a new monitor — pending further discussions with her mood.
Here’s what we know:
China agreed to supply rare earths (and magnets, apparently) up front.
The U.S. will continue receiving 55% in tariffs from China.
We’re letting Chinese students into U.S. universities again.
It’s a 6-month deal. China can back out whenever it wants. Fun!
Why markets care: Rare earths are essential to EVs, defense, and electronics. So this eases short-term supply chain fears. But the whole “we might back out later” thing? Still risk-on/off dependent.
What to watch next: If tensions stay low, expect smoother global supply chains. If China ghosts us again? Risk-off returns. Long volatility, short kumbaya.

🧮 CPI Comes in Cool (But Not Too Cool)
🚨BREAKING🚨
US CPI 2.4%
BELOW expectations for the 4th month in a row 💥
— Quinten | 048.eth (@QuintenFrancois)
12:30 PM • Jun 11, 2025
Yesterday’s inflation print came in at 2.4% YoY — below the 2.5% forecast and down from 2.9% last month. Core CPI was also softer. Basically, inflation walked in wearing shorts, but not flip flops.
Markets liked it — for about 10 minutes. Stocks turned green on the news, then immediately went back to red. My trading PnL did something similar, minus the green part.
Big picture:
Inflation is cooling, despite tariff fears.
The Fed now has some cover to consider rate cuts later this year.
USD fell. Yields dropped. Stocks almost rallied.
What to watch next: If future CPI prints stay mellow, that’s a green light for the Fed to start easing — which would be bullish for equities and bearish for the dollar.

🛢️ Oil Surges on U.S.–Iran Tensions
Brent Crude also shot up 5+% today
What’s about to happen in the mid-east?
US pulled non-essentials from the Bagdad embassy and Qatar airbase.
— Hank Miiller (@miiller)
9:35 PM • Jun 11, 2025
Crude oil jumped 4%+ as tensions with Iran heated up. Trump said he’s losing confidence in striking a deal to prevent Iran from going nuclear. Iran responded with “every U.S. base is in range.” So yeah, not a great vibes day.
What happened:
Brent closed at $69.77
WTI closed at $68.15
U.S. is evacuating non-essential embassy staff in Iraq.
Why markets care: Rising oil = rising geopolitical risk. It’s a classic risk-off move. Energy traders pile in. Equities and FX (especially CAD and JPY) get twitchy.
What to watch next:
If oil keeps spiking, expect CAD strength and equity volatility.
If things cool off, oil might retrace — and risk-on could return.
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SENTIMENT
😐 VIX Hits a Snooze Button
CBOE Volatility Index $VIX falls to lowest level since February 🚨🚨 No Fear Left in the Market
— Barchart (@Barchart)
6:17 PM • Jun 11, 2025
The Fear Gauge just took a nap.
The CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX) fell to 16.46 on Wednesday — its lowest level since February. Translation? Wall Street is more relaxed than my wife after booking a solo spa weekend without telling me.
Here’s what’s going on:
VIX measures expected S&P 500 volatility — and right now, traders are expecting… not much.
It’s typically used as a sentiment barometer: low VIX = risk-on, high VIX = risk-off.
Since peaking above 60 during the March madness, it’s been stair-stepping down harder than my failed attempts at leg day.
Why traders care:
A low VIX often signals calm conditions and opens the door for riskier assets to run (think: tech, crypto, growth stocks).
It also suggests the market’s brushing off war headlines, inflation prints, and Elon’s robotaxi memes like a champ.
What to watch next:
If the VIX stays below 17, expect more bullish momentum in risk assets.
But don’t get too comfy — VIX bottoms often precede sharp spikes when complacency breaks.
Risk-on until further notice. But keep your stops tighter than a trader’s weekend budget after four losing days.
MARKET OVERVIEW
🍿 Tasty Movers & Shakers
$ORCL ( ▲ 2.48% ) Oracle popped 8% after earnings blew past expectations. CEO Safra Catz said revenue will grow 70% in 2026, on top of the 50% jump in 2025. Not sure what they’re serving in those executive meetings, but we’d like a double shot of it.
$SBUX ( ▼ 1.01% ) Starbucks has been on a cold brew losing streak lately… but then came a wild card: Howard Schultz showed up at the company’s Vegas conference and said the CEO’s turnaround plan made him “do a cartwheel.” We don’t know if it was metaphorical or if Howard’s out here doing floor routines, but the stock is up 8% in 5 days, so the market’s clearly into it.
$NVDA ( ▲ 4.04% ) Two Nvidia board members just sold $194 million in shares. Nothing screams “we believe in the company” like unloading a small country’s GDP worth of stock. Totally normal stuff. Definitely not suspicious. Not. At. All.
$TSLA ( ▼ 1.93% ) Elon tried something new: apologizing. After tweeting that he "went too far" in roasting Trump, traders expected Tesla to rip higher. Instead, it just... didn’t.
The stock was flatter than my wife’s enthusiasm when I said we should name our kid Fibonacci.
PROP FIRMS
🤑 Thursday Motivation
Cesar just got paid $2,320 from Lark after only 5 trading days.
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✅ 1.52 profit factor.
✅ 1.78 avg RRR.Not perfect. Just consistent.
This is what prop trading looks like when the rules are actually fair.
— larkfunding (@larkfunding)
11:03 PM • Jun 9, 2025
🚀 Pre-Market Fuel
🍪 Munchy Memes
Bears Bears
last week: this week:— Gambling is Life (@GamblingMemez)
8:31 PM • Jun 9, 2025
stop thinking about crypto, get outside and touch grass
— naiive (@naiivememe)
4:22 AM • Jun 3, 2025
Just upgraded my setup, God is the greatest 🙏
— Trader Theory (@Trader_Theory)
9:01 PM • May 29, 2025
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