šŸ“‰ HISTORIC CRASH

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ā˜•ļø GM Munchers! The market crashed so badly yesterday I had to downgrade from my usual $1 McDonald’s coffee to just sniffing the empty cup. We’ll get through this together.

On today’s menu:

  • šŸ“‰ The Market Just Had A Historic Crash

  • šŸ’„ The AI Wonder Boy Just Blew Up. Again.

  • šŸ˜ļø Expedia, Snapchat & Zillow Crash

  • šŸ© A Donut Shop Was The Only Green On The Screen

  • šŸ‘€ A Billionaire Gives Advice On Market Crashes

Yesterday’s numbers:

S&P 500

7,353

-4.36%

Nasdaq

24,315

-5.52%

Dow Jones

51,523

-3.44%

Bitcoin

~$75,800

-5.75%

BREAKING NEWS

šŸ“‰ The Market Just Had A Historic Crash

Wow. Yesterday was one for the record books. The tech-heavy Nasdaq cratered about 5%, officially tumbling into what’s called a ā€œcorrection,ā€ meaning it’s now down more than 10% from its recent high. The selling was so fast and so brutal that it erased trillions of dollars in market value, and at one point the pace of the wipeout was staggering. This was one of the worst days Wall Street has seen since the big tariff crash of April 2025.

The chip stocks took the worst of it. Nvidia, the poster child of the entire AI boom, dropped about 8% and shed roughly $400 billion in market value in a single day. Other chip names fared even worse, with Micron and AMD both plunging around 15%. The pain wasn’t just in stocks, either. Bitcoin slid back under $77,000, so there was truly nowhere to hide. Everywhere you looked, things were red.

So what triggered the carnage? It comes back to the AI trade. After the Democratic sweep in the midterms, investors suddenly got nervous that tougher regulation could slow down the massive data-center buildout powering AI. Pair that with the fear that’s been bubbling for weeks about all the money these companies are spending, and the result was a full-on stampede for the exits. The market’s fear gauge spiked to its highest level in months.

  • šŸ”» Chips led the slaughter. Semiconductor stocks got hit hardest, with the sector index plunging around 10% as investors dumped the AI winners that had soared all year.

  • 😨 Fear went into overdrive. Wall Street’s volatility gauge posted its biggest jump in over two years, a clear sign panic had firmly taken hold.

  • 🌐 The selling was everywhere. On the Nasdaq, falling stocks outnumbered rising ones by more than three to one, showing this was a broad-based rout, not an isolated dip.

The Munch Take: Alright, deep breath, because this is exactly the moment that separates the winners from the panickers. We’ve been telling you for weeks that there’s nothing wrong with taking some profit along the way, and days like yesterday are why. But here’s the hard truth: a lot of that profit might feel gone now, and this is precisely when the real money gets made. If you’re selling into this, we think that’s a genuine mistake. This selloff is overblown, plain and simple. This is the exact scenario where so many investors get burned, because they freak out, they panic, and they dump quality stocks at the worst possible time. We are not doing that. We are not selling a single thing. We’re doing the opposite. We’re adding, we’re buying, because there are now so many fantastic stocks sitting at major discounts. Whether you’re buying a simple index fund or picking individual names, moments like this are when fortunes are quietly built. And we’ll tell you the number one stock on our watch list that we’re adding to our portfolio right now: Google. We think it’s a tremendous opportunity at these levels. If you want a full deep dive on exactly why we’re buying it, just reply to this email with ā€œTell me more,ā€ and we’ll write that story up for you. Stay calm, Munchers. Fear is loud, but opportunity is quiet.

Your Unclaimed $29.97 Book (Via ProfitsRun)

Your copy of "Simple Options Trading For Beginners" is still sitting behind this link.

That's the book I sell for $29.97 on my website. Options explained in plain English, no Greeks, no screen-watching, no betting the farm on one trade.

Right now it costs you nothing but the few seconds it takes to download.

But the link is temporary. I can't leave it open indefinitely, and when it expires, unclaimed copies go back behind the $29.97 price with everything else.

Once it's on your computer, none of that matters. It's yours.

Until then, it's a $29.97 book you're leaving on the table.

Good Trading,

Bill Poulos

P.S. Downloading takes less time than reading this email did. Save your copy here and stop worrying about the deadline.

STORY OF THE DAY

šŸ’„ The AI Wonder Boy Just Blew Up. Again.

Here’s a story that would be hard to believe if it hadn’t just happened twice. Leopold Aschenbrenner, a 24-year-old former OpenAI researcher once hailed as a genius investor, has reportedly seen his hedge fund blow up for the second time this year. His fund, fittingly named Situational Awareness, was packed with AI stocks. And in the recent chip-stock meltdown, those bets reportedly got liquidated again, with names like Micron, Core Scientific, and SanDisk all cratering 35% or more.

If you’ve never heard of this guy, here’s the quick version. Aschenbrenner was a Columbia valedictorian at 19 and wrote a famous essay predicting the AI boom. He turned that fame into a hedge fund that ballooned to around $45 billion at its peak, with returns topping 1,000%. Online, his followers treated him like a prophet. He looked like the smartest guy in the room.

Then came July. The secret to his gains was also his downfall: leverage, meaning borrowed money used to supersize bets. When AI stocks dipped, that borrowed money turned a modest drop into a disaster.

  • šŸ“Š The leverage was extreme. Aschenbrenner reportedly used as much as 400% leverage, controlling four dollars of stock for every one he actually had.

  • šŸ”„ July was brutal. His fund reportedly lost around $35 billion, with the portfolio down 67% in that single month before a fire sale to rival Citadel.

  • šŸ¦ The banks bailed. JPMorgan, one of his key lenders, reportedly cut off its lending relationship with the fund after the losses piled up.

The Munch Take: There’s a saying from the legendary Charlie Munger that fits perfectly. He warned that the three things that ruin people are ā€œliquor, ladies, and leverage,ā€ and that leverage is the one that gets the smart ones. Here’s the real lesson, though. When someone looks like the smartest person in the room, ask a hard question: are they actually brilliant, or did they just happen to be investing during an incredible time? For a while, everything AI-related was ripping, and anyone with leverage looked like a genius. But a true genius doesn’t get liquidated, let alone twice. It’s almost funny how these stories repeat decade after decade. Different names, same mistake. Be careful out there, and never confuse a bull market for brilliance.

MARKET OVERVIEW

šŸŸ Tasty Movers & Shakers

šŸ“± $APP AppLovin soared 31.04% on better-than-expected earnings and an upbeat outlook, easing fears that AI could disrupt its advertising business.

šŸ‘“ $WRBY Warby Parker jumped 22.59% after beating on both the top and bottom lines and opening preorders for its new Intelligent Eyewear collection. Smart glasses are suddenly the hot new frontier, and investors want a piece of it.

šŸ“‰ $QCOM Qualcomm sank 9.49% even after beating on revenue, as a warning about weaker margins in its chip-design business spooked investors.

šŸ‘» $SNAP Snap plunged 14.02% on softer-than-expected revenue, dragged down by sluggish growth in its advertising sales.

āœˆļø $EXPE Expedia dropped 13.74% even after beating earnings and raising its full-year outlook, as investors fretted over slowing growth ahead. Sometimes good news now isn’t enough to calm nerves about what’s coming next.

šŸ  $ZG Zillow fell 10.65% after missing on revenue and posting a bigger loss than expected. A frozen housing market makes life tough for the companies that depend on homes actually changing hands.

ā˜• $BROS Dutch Bros sank 21.41% after cutting its full-year profit outlook, as weak same-store sales stirred worries about the consumer. When a fast-growing favorite trims its own forecast, investors rarely stick around to ask questions.

STOCK OF THE DAY

šŸ© A Donut Shop Was The Only Green On The Screen

While the entire market was crashing, it looks like the only place of comfort was a donut shop. If you’re looking for a refreshing story where something actually went up yesterday, this is it. Krispy Kreme $DNUT stock rocketed about 40% in a single day, a massive move that stood out like a glazed donut on a plate of bad news. So what sparked the sugar rush? Let’s break it down.

The jump came after Krispy Kreme reported earnings that showed its turnaround plan is finally working. The company beat Wall Street’s profit expectations, earning 6 cents per share when analysts expected just a penny. Even better, it raised its forecast for the full year, lifting its revenue outlook to between $1.35 billion and $1.40 billion. When a struggling company tells investors things are getting better, the stock often pops hard. That’s exactly what happened here.

Here’s the key to understanding this turnaround, though. A big part of the plan is something called ā€œrefranchising,ā€ which means Krispy Kreme is selling its company-owned stores to local franchise owners. This actually makes reported revenue look smaller, since the company collects fees instead of full store sales. But it slashes costs, frees up cash, and reduces the company’s heavy debt load. In short, Krispy Kreme is getting leaner and healthier, even if the top-line sales number shrinks.

  • šŸ’µ Cash is flowing again. Free cash flow improved by a hefty $82 million over the first nine months of the year, a sign the cost-cutting is paying off.

  • šŸŒ Overseas is the bright spot. Much of the momentum came from expanding its franchise business in international markets rather than at home.

  • šŸ“‰ Debt is coming down. The company is steadily paying off what it owes, a crucial step for a business that had been weighed down by borrowing.

The Munch Take: A 40% day feels amazing, especially when everything else is bleeding red, but let’s keep our heads on straight. This stock is still down a brutal 68% over the past five years, so one great day does not erase years of pain. There’s a long, long way to go before anyone can call this a true comeback. That said, we do love seeing a turnaround plan actually show real results, because so many of them never do. The improving cash flow and shrinking debt are genuinely encouraging signs that management is steering the ship in the right direction. The company is still losing money and sales are shrinking as it reshapes the business, so this is far from a finished story. But for one day at least, a humble donut shop gave investors something sweet to smile about in an otherwise sour market. Sometimes that’s exactly the little pick-me-up we all need.

šŸŖ Munchy Memes

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