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• Tech driving real adoption across medicine, defense, and logistics
• Under-the-radar tickers getting upgraded fast
• Anchored in a $200B+ megatrend that could mint the next wave of market winners

If you wait, you’ll be late.
If you act early, you’ll be positioned.

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— The Stock Alert Daily Team

☕️ GM Munchers! Made it through the whole weekend without obsessively checking my portfolio after Friday's crash. Just kidding, I checked it every 30 minutes including twice during my uncle’s birthday party. My wife said "the markets are literally closed, what are you doing?" I said "preparing mentally for Monday." She's finding me a therapist.

On today’s menu:

• 📉 The Market Rage Quit on Friday

• 💸 BlackRock Tells Investors "You Can't Have Your Money Back"

• ✈️ Your Summer Vacation Just Got Cancelled

• ✅ Ford, The Gap & Boeing

• 🤑 This Boring Stock Has Been Crushing It

Friday’s numbers:

BREAKING NEWS

📉 The Market Rage Quit on Friday (Worst Week Since October)

On Friday, the market acted like an employee who just couldn’t wait for the weekend to start. Instead of walking into the office with a smile, it walked into its boss’s office, dropped the Pensky Files on his desk and said “I quit.”

Yup, the market officially had its worst week since October.

• The Dow: Suffered the biggest weekly loss, dropping a massive 3%.

• The S&P 500: Closed the week down 2%.

• The Nasdaq: Ended the week down 1.2%.

• The Russell 2000: Collapsed by 4.1%

And the biggest reason?

Oil prices jumped over 34%, the largest weekly price jump in history.

Oh, and we haven’t even mentioned the terrible jobs report we had on Friday.

• What was expected: 50,000 new jobs were supposed to be created and the unemployment rate would hold steady at 4.3%.

• What actually happened: Not a single job was created. In fact, 92,000 were lost, bringing the unemployment rate up to 4.4%.

What This Means:

1. Oil is running the show. If oil keeps climbing, stocks will sell off, consumer spending will crash, and the Fed will be completely paralyzed. Gas stations are about to become the most depressing part of everyone's commute.

2. War isn't ending soon. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said US forces are "accelerating, not decelerating." Wall Street initially priced in a quick one month operation. That timeline's looking optimistic now.

3. The Fed is trapped. This is the absolute worst scenario for the Federal Reserve. Inflation's rising (gas prices spiking), but the economy's cracking (terrible jobs report). They can't cut rates to help the dying labour market because that would pour gasoline on inflation. They can't raise rates to fight inflation because that would finish off what's left of employment. This is textbook stagflation and it's ugly.

The Munch Take: If the US wraps this up in four to five weeks like originally planned, expect a massive relief rally as geopolitical panic fades. If this drags on and oil keeps climbing past $100/barrel, expect continued brutal selling. Right now we're all just hoping oil cooperates and the war ends fast, which is not exactly a robust investment thesis.

💸 BlackRock Just Told Investors "You Can't Have Your Money Back"

BlackRock handles $11 trillion. That's more money than most countries have. Yesterday, they told investors in their $26 billion private credit fund "sorry, you can't withdraw all your money right now."

What Happened:

Investors tried to pull out 9.3% of the fund. BlackRock said "nope, we're only giving back 5%." The fund's price immediately dropped 7.13%.

Why Can't People Get Their Money?

Private credit isn't like stocks. The money's locked up in loans. When too many people ask for their money at once, there's not enough cash to pay everyone. It's a bank run for Wall Street's "safe" alternative investment.

Last month, Blue Owl had to sell $1.4 billion worth of assets just to pay people wanting out. That's frantically selling your furniture because you need rent money.

The Industry Crisis: The $1.8 trillion private credit industry made loans when money was free. Now rates are higher, companies can't pay, and experts think 15% could default. That's financial crisis level.

The Munch Take: BlackRock sold private credit as the safe alternative to risky stocks. Turns out "safe" only works if you never need your money back. When the world's biggest asset manager limits withdrawals, the exits are locked and the building might be on fire. Check how fast you can actually withdraw. You might not like the answer.

The Iran War Didn't Just Make Headlines (Ad)

Dear Fellow Investor,

The Iran War didn't just make headlines.

It broke the gold market wide open.

Gold is already above $5,000 and surging.

But the metal isn't where the real money gets made.

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Behind the Markets

SECTOR DEEP-DIVE

✈️ Your Summer Vacation Just Got Way More Expensive (Or Cancelled)

If you've been dreaming of a European vacation to escape winter, I have bad news. That trip? Might be turning into a staycation in your backyard with a kiddie pool and overpriced rosé.

Jet fuel prices have basically doubled. Some analysts warn this could trigger inflation worse than 2022. It explains why airline stocks are getting obliterated.

The Weekly Carnage:

• American Airlines: Down 5.4%

• United Airlines: Down 5%

• Delta: Down 3.9%

• Southwest: Plunged 6.8%

• Korean Air Lines: Collapsed 10.3%, worst drop since Covid crash

The Impossible Math (Lose-Lose)

1. Jet fuel is an airline's second biggest expense after labor. When it doubles, profit margins evaporate. Airlines face a brutal lose-lose:

2. Eat the cost and watch earnings collapse, or raise ticket prices and kill demand when consumers are already tapped out. Either way, revenue craters.

The Debt Problem:

Even if fuel stabilizes, airlines remain terrible long-term investments. American Airlines ended 2025 with $36.5 billion in debt. When an industry operates on razor-thin margins, carries crushing debt, and gets destroyed every time oil spikes, that's not an investment—that's a liability with wings.

The Munch Take: This fuel spike will probably be temporary. But airlines are structurally terrible businesses with high fixed costs, low margins, crushing debt, and zero pricing power when things go sideways. We're not touching these with a 10-foot pole. That said, I still want my summer in Europe, so I'm hoping this resolves fast because a staycation at my in-laws sounds terrible.

MARKET OVERVIEW

🍿 Tasty Movers & Shakers

⚫️ Oil Prediction Markets: There's now a 59% chance oil hits $110/barrel this month, the highest price in over 3 years. Polymarket traders are betting real money that your summer road trip is about to cost more than your monthly car payment.

🚗 $F Ford: Slipped 1.54% after recalling nearly 2.4 million vehicles for broken backup cameras and windshield wipers. You know, just the two things you need to see where you're going and where you've been. Minor safety features. Ford's basically saying "our bad, turns out you should be able to see during a rainstorm."

👕 $GPS Gap: Face-planted 14.41% after winter storms disrupted operations and destroyed fourth-quarter results. Apparently nobody wants to brave a blizzard to buy khakis.

✈️ $BA Boeing: The only airline stock not getting obliterated. Bloomberg leaked that Boeing's closing in on a massive 500-aircraft order for 737 Max jets. The deal's expected to be announced when Trump meets Xi Jinping in Beijing. The stock climbed 4% on the news.

TRADING SUCCESS

🤑 Monday Motivation

🚀 Pre-Market Fuel

1. 🤑 This boring stock has been crushing it.

2. 🇨🇦 Gas in Canada is getting pretty high.

3. ✅ Quote of the day (Warren Buffett).

4. 😏 A great prop firm feature.

🍪 Munchy Memes

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