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āļø GM Munchers! The marketās been mood-swinging harder than my wife after I said āitās fine, we donāt need curtains.ā Red Tuesday, green Wednesday, red after-hours. Buckle up ā weāre here to decode the chaos.
On todayās menu:
š More Jobs, More Tariffs & More Canadian Insanity
šļø NYC Elects a Socialist⦠What Could Go Wrong?
š McDonaldās Reports Earnings
šŗļø Netflix Hits A 7-Month Low
š¬ Household Debt Hits A Record High
Yesterdayās numbers:
S&P 500 | 6,796 | +0.37% |
Nasdaq | 23,499 | +0.65% |
Dow Jones | 47,311 | +0.48% |
Bitcoin | $103,750 | +2.20% |
BREAKING NEWS
š More Jobs = More Hopium

We staggered in yesterday, still tasting Tuesday's bloodbath, but boomāthe indices slipped into rally mode and mooned higher, like we'd cracked the code to endless green candles. (My portfolio's finally speaking to me again. Therapy works.)
What sparked the fire?
ADP jobs report, that feisty sidekick filling in while Uncle Sam's on strike. Private payrolls flipped the script: +42k in October after -29k in Septemberāfirst win since July, crushing economist bets of 22k-37.5k.
So, why didnāt the market rip more than it did?
One word: Tariffs.
Keep readingā¦

āļø SCOTUS vs. Tariffs: Trump's Trade Tantrum on Trial
BREAKING: The odds of President Trump's tariffs being ruled as "legal" by the Supreme Court collapse to just 18%, per Polymarket.
ā The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter)
4:37 PM ⢠Nov 5, 2025
All eyes on the Supreme Court yesterday, grilling if Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs are genius power move or unconstitutional overkillālike calling a national emergency over a fantasy football flop.
Polymarket Trump-win odds? Tanked from 50% to 23% mid-hearing, as even his picks started squirming.
JUST IN: 78% chance Supreme Court rules Trump tariffs as "illegal"
ā Kalshi (@Kalshi)
4:31 PM ⢠Nov 5, 2025
Here's the cheat sheet on why this could flip your portfolio faster than a bad earnings call:
Trump's Hail Mary: He's leaning on the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to slap tariffs on imports claiming it's all for "national security" amid trade deficits.
Lower courts' smackdown: Federal benches ruled Trump overstepped, saying Congress owns taxes, not the Oval Office.
Risk-on roulette: If SCOTUS axes 'em, expect $100B+ refunds and a global stock party. Tariffs stick? Cue the trade war blues, higher costs, and us all panic-buying puts like it's March 2020.
Even if the robes rule "nope," Trump's got backupsālike the Trade Act of 1974 (we won't nerd out on the fine print, promise).
When will they make a decision?
Nobody knows how long itāll take. AKA, brace for more chop that weāve already been dealing with.

š Canadaās Budget Is⦠a Bit Rich
BREAKING: Mark Carney's budget deficit for the fiscal year of 2025-26 is over $78 BILLION, 10 billion higher than what the PBO had predicted.
78 BILLION...
The Liberals are bankrupting our country right before our very own eyes and delivering us GENERATIONAL DEBT.
ā Jinglai He šØš¦ (@JinglaiHe)
9:16 PM ⢠Nov 4, 2025
Folks, Iāve gone over budget before ā like that time I bought a $1,200 espresso machine to āsave money on coffeeā⦠but now Iām just spending $60 a week on milk trying to master latte art.
Turns out Iāve got competition in bad budgeting ā the entire Canadian government.
Carney dropped the new budget this week, and itās more bloated than me after three bowls of fettuccine.
The deficit? $78.3 billion ā double last year.
Debt charges? $55.6 billion.
GDP growth? A thrilling 1.1%, with per-capita growth basically flatlining.
Liberals are calling it a āresponsible budget,ā but the only thing responsible here is the level of denial. The marketās not buying it ā literally.
USD/CAD just ripped from 1.39 ā 1.41 in a week, a clear vote of āno confidenceā from traders.

The Munch Take:
Canadaās economy is slowing, debt is ballooning, and the only thing growing fast is the interest bill. Mr. Market doesnāt care about talking points ā and heās saying loud and clear: the loonieās cooked.
At this point, the only thing more overvalued than Canadaās optimism is my espresso setup.
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POLITICS
šļø NYC Elects a Socialist⦠What Could Go Wrong?
A socialist just got elected mayor in the heart of the financial world at the top of the greatest bubble of all time.
ā Rex (@R89Capital)
2:35 AM ⢠Nov 5, 2025
What was once the most capitalist city on Earth is now being run by a self-proclaimed democratic socialist ā which, letās be honest, is just PR-speak for āIām kinda into communism.ā
Ugandan-born Zohran Mamdani officially won the NYC mayoral election, and the reactions couldnāt be more predictable:
Young liberals are celebrating like itās Coachella.
Florida and Texas realtors are popping champagne ā because rich New Yorkers are about to start house-hunting.
JUST IN: Florida & Texas real estate prices projected to soar, as NYC sees exodus of up to 1 million people.
ā Polymarket (@Polymarket)
11:46 AM ⢠Nov 5, 2025
The big question: will this actually hit markets?
Maybe a little. Real estate and finance stocks with heavy NYC exposure could see some short-term volatility, but beyond that, itās not a market mover ā just a front-row ticket to a four-year economic experiment.
The Munch Take:
This isnāt about price action ā itās about popcorn. Grab some. The memes alone might be worth the taxes.
MARKET OVERVIEW
šæ Tasty Movers & Shakers
š½ļø $DASH
Doordash just delivered a cold bag of disappointment. The stock collapsed 20% after-hours after missing earnings ā $0.55 per share vs. $0.69 expected.
Revenue was still up 27% year-over-year and orders climbed 21%, but apparently growth doesnāt matter when Wall Street expected a side of profits with that.
š $MCD
Letās be honest ā itās McDonaldās $1 coffee that powers this newsletter. But the Golden Arches werenāt shining too bright this quarter.
They missed earnings, though same-store sales rose 3.6%. The problem? The CEO said traffic from lower-income consumers dropped almost double digits. Translation: people are finally realizing $14 combo meals are not part of a balanced budget.
šŗļø $NFLX
Netflix just hit its lowest level in almost 7 months ā though itās still up 23% YTD, so donāt start canceling your subscription just yet.
At this point, even another season of Love Is Blind might not save the stock⦠unless they start putting traders in there and making them marry based on each otherās P&L.
š¦ $9984.T (SoftBank)
SoftBank just got soft, crashing 10% and wiping out $32 billion in market cap in a single day. Still up 145% YTD though ā so maybe they just needed a āhealthy correction,ā as bagholders like to call it.
š¢ļø Oil
Crude slipped to $59/barrel after Trump said he wants $2 gas again. Guess we shouldnāt have bought a Tesla⦠unless it comes with a built-in gas pump at this point.
TRADING SUCCESS
š¤ Thursday Motivation
Higher highs - not just on the charts.
October recap: 48.370,92$ in payouts.
New record month for me. Itās not even too long ago that I had my first ever payout, that being back in July 2024.
And now months like this, shitās too crazy honestly. Feels surreal.
Thank you to all
ā Harry (@ApparentlyTr8dr)
11:32 AM ⢠Nov 4, 2025
š Pre-Market Fuel
šŖ Munchy Memes
āLook babe we just lost everything.ā
ā Not Jerome Powell (@alifarhat79)
6:30 PM ⢠Nov 4, 2025
āMom, how did we get so poor?ā
āYour dad got liquidated in 2025ā
ā Divix (@cryptodivix)
9:13 PM ⢠Nov 4, 2025
Me buying one more dip
ā naiive (@naiivememe)
1:44 AM ⢠Nov 4, 2025
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