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š The U.S. Enters War With Israel

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āļø GM Munchers! I was hoping to golf this weekend, but instead I had to āmonitor the situationā and spend 12 hours doomscrolling Twitter while my wife accused me of using WW3 as an excuse to avoid chores.
On todayās menu:
š The U.S. Enters War With Iran
šÆšµ BOJ Just Noped Out of the Bond Market
š„³ Tesla Launches Their Robotaxi
š¬ Inflation Fears Are Back
šŗš² Texas Goes All-In On Bitcoin
Fridayās numbers:
S&P 500 | 6,025 | +0.12% |
Nasdaq | 19,447 | -0.51% |
Dow Jones | 42,206 | +0.08% |
Bitcoin | $98,515 | -3.58% |
BREAKING NEWS
š The U.S. Enters War With Iran
The U.S. just officially entered the war between Israel and Iran. Trump confirmed Saturday night that the U.S. bombed three major nuclear sites in IranāFordow, Natanz, and Esfahanāusing B-2 stealth bombers and Tomahawk missiles.
And just like that, Bitcoin tanked from its recent highs of $110K to below $99K over the weekend. Risk-off mode activated.
BREAKING: Bitcoin is down over 3% to below $99,000.
The first time it's been below $100K in over 30 days.
ā Pip Munch (@pip_munch)
8:45 PM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
Iran responded by launching missiles at Israeli targets. And in case your anxiety wasnāt high enough, the Strait of Hormuzāa literal chokepoint for 20% of global oilāmight get closed off.
So yeah, casual weekend.
Key Facts:
U.S. joined Israelās offensive after Iranās continued nuclear enrichment.
Trump called the attack a āspectacular successā and said more could be coming.
Iranās parliament approved a measure to close the Strait of Hormuz.

š¤ What Happens Next?

This isnāt just geopolitics. Itās a volatility bomb.
Markets now face 3 possible paths:
ā”ļø Escalation (Risk-Off): More strikes, more uncertainty. Equities fall. USD, gold, JPY up. BTC probably takes another hit.
ā”ļø De-escalation (Risk-On): If this weekendās strike was a āone and done,ā risk assets could rebound hard. BTC, stocks, oil = up.
ā”ļø Prolonged Grind (Sideways Mess): Think Russia-Ukraine 2.0. Occasional shocks, short-term swings, but no clear trend. VIX stays elevated, and every CPI print feels like a Fed announcement.
Translation? Headlines now matter more than head and shoulders patterns.
Youāre not just trading charts this weekāyouāre trading war updates. Stay sharp. And maybe bookmark Pip Munch. Just saying.

š What A War Means For Oil
Weekend futures markets have Oil +6% right now to $80 and Gold +1% right now to $3,400.
Stocks and Bitcoin down.
ā Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian)
1:53 PM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
If Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, itās game over for stable oil flows. That strait is only 21 miles wide but moves 20% of the worldās oil every single day.
Crude was chilling at $75 on Friday. Thatās about to change. Futures are likely to gap up, and energy stocks could ride the wave.
Canadaās about to feel it too. Higher oil = stronger CAD. (Which means, yes, your trip to Buffalo just got more expensive.)
What to watch:
Oil spiking toward $100+
Canadian dollar strength
Energy equities getting frisky
If the Strait gets shut, JPMorgan says that alone could be interpreted as a declaration of war.
So⦠yeah. No big deal.
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The U.S. just bombed Iran.
Headlines are screaming, and price action is wild.
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FOREX
šÆšµ BOJ Just Noped Out of the Bond Market
šÆšµ The Bank of Japan, once the worldās most aggressive monetary expansionist, is now shrinking its bond holdings faster than any period in modern history, with a Ā„6.2 trillion decline in Q1 alone.
This is a foundational reordering of global liquidity assumptions. For decades,
ā EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm)
12:00 PM ⢠Jun 19, 2025
The Bank of Japan ā once the worldās most aggressive money printer ā is now selling bonds at a record pace. In Q1 alone, they dumped Ā„6.2 trillion worth.
Why it matters:
For decades, Japan quietly supported global markets by buying tons of bonds, suppressing yields, and keeping liquidity flowing. Now? Theyāre backing away⦠just as everyone else is freaking out over inflation, war, and deficits.
This isn't just Japan tightening. Itās Japan saying: āWeāre out. Youāre on your own.ā

š§ Explain It Like Iām 11:
Imagine Japan was the rich uncle who always loaned money when markets got dicey.
Now that uncle is retiring⦠and selling off his assets instead.
Translation: Less global liquidity, more volatility, and fewer buyers for bonds when the world needs them most.

What it means for the Yen:
Normally, JPY strengthens in risk-off environments. Itās the āgo-toā safe haven.
But this shift may break that pattern. Why?
The BOJ is signalling tightening, which can strengthen the yen short-term.
But losing their anchor role in global finance could scare off foreign capital.
Net result? Yen might be volatile ā not safe. Watch how USD/JPY reacts when global stress hits.

Bottom line: The BOJ just fired the starting pistol on a global bond market regime change.
And if you donāt have a clear thesis here, youāre not trading ā youāre guessing.
MARKET OVERVIEW
šæ Tasty Movers & Shakers
$TSLA ( ā² 1.08% ) Tesla just soft-launched its long-teased Robotaxi service in Austin, charging a very on-brand $4.20 per ride. Yes, Elon still thinks heās hilarious. Investors are watching closely, hoping this kicks off a new revenue stream without the full Uber drama.
$GOOGL ( ā² 0.76% ) Googleās profits are so obscene theyāre basically printing money in the back. Viral charts this weekend showed $111B in net income. Thatās enough cash to buy GameStop⦠twice⦠and still have change for some GPU farms. If youāre betting against them in AI, good luck.
$MCD ( ā² 0.66% ) McDonaldās stock is still sliding, down another 5% last week. Reason? The dollar menu is now basically the $10 menu. One viral chart showed how prices have ballooned over the last 10 years ā and letās just say itās not just the fries getting salty.
$TGT ( ā² 0.6% ) Target is having its worst year since⦠well, forever. The stock is down 30% YTD, and itās staring down its third straight quarterly decline ā a streak it hasnāt seen in over a decade. Turns out being the āniceā Walmart isnāt cutting it with consumers anymore.
PROP FIRMS
š¤ Monday Motivation
Happy Sunday fam
As you sleep today, think about this payouts and hope you get yours soon
ā Smart (@Tonysmart2_0)
6:19 PM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
š Pre-Market Fuel
šŖ Munchy Memes
āTo my fellow Americans, the Iranians are quickly learning why Palantir trades at a beautiful 300x multipleā
ā litquidity (@litcapital)
3:44 AM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
Tesla fans following Robotaxis around Austin
ā mr fundman (@mrfundman)
6:53 PM ⢠Jun 19, 2025
This is what trading does to a man.
ā Trader Theory (@Trader_Theory)
12:42 PM ⢠Jun 15, 2025
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