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đ The U.S. Enters War With Israel

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âď¸ GM Munchers! I was hoping to golf this weekend, but instead I had to âmonitor the situationâ and spend 12 hours doomscrolling Twitter while my wife accused me of using WW3 as an excuse to avoid chores.
On todayâs menu:
đ The U.S. Enters War With Iran
đŻđľ BOJ Just Noped Out of the Bond Market
𼳠Tesla Launches Their Robotaxi
đŹ Inflation Fears Are Back
đşđ˛ Texas Goes All-In On Bitcoin
Fridayâs numbers:
S&P 500 | 6,025 | +0.12% |
Nasdaq | 19,447 | -0.51% |
Dow Jones | 42,206 | +0.08% |
Bitcoin | $98,515 | -3.58% |
BREAKING NEWS
đ The U.S. Enters War With Iran
The U.S. just officially entered the war between Israel and Iran. Trump confirmed Saturday night that the U.S. bombed three major nuclear sites in IranâFordow, Natanz, and Esfahanâusing B-2 stealth bombers and Tomahawk missiles.
And just like that, Bitcoin tanked from its recent highs of $110K to below $99K over the weekend. Risk-off mode activated.
BREAKING: Bitcoin is down over 3% to below $99,000.
The first time it's been below $100K in over 30 days.
â Pip Munch (@pip_munch)
8:45 PM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
Iran responded by launching missiles at Israeli targets. And in case your anxiety wasnât high enough, the Strait of Hormuzâa literal chokepoint for 20% of global oilâmight get closed off.
So yeah, casual weekend.
Key Facts:
U.S. joined Israelâs offensive after Iranâs continued nuclear enrichment.
Trump called the attack a âspectacular successâ and said more could be coming.
Iranâs parliament approved a measure to close the Strait of Hormuz.

đ¤ What Happens Next?

This isnât just geopolitics. Itâs a volatility bomb.
Markets now face 3 possible paths:
âĄď¸ Escalation (Risk-Off): More strikes, more uncertainty. Equities fall. USD, gold, JPY up. BTC probably takes another hit.
âĄď¸ De-escalation (Risk-On): If this weekendâs strike was a âone and done,â risk assets could rebound hard. BTC, stocks, oil = up.
âĄď¸ Prolonged Grind (Sideways Mess): Think Russia-Ukraine 2.0. Occasional shocks, short-term swings, but no clear trend. VIX stays elevated, and every CPI print feels like a Fed announcement.
Translation? Headlines now matter more than head and shoulders patterns.
Youâre not just trading charts this weekâyouâre trading war updates. Stay sharp. And maybe bookmark Pip Munch. Just saying.

đ What A War Means For Oil
Weekend futures markets have Oil +6% right now to $80 and Gold +1% right now to $3,400.
Stocks and Bitcoin down.
â Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian)
1:53 PM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
If Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, itâs game over for stable oil flows. That strait is only 21 miles wide but moves 20% of the worldâs oil every single day.
Crude was chilling at $75 on Friday. Thatâs about to change. Futures are likely to gap up, and energy stocks could ride the wave.
Canadaâs about to feel it too. Higher oil = stronger CAD. (Which means, yes, your trip to Buffalo just got more expensive.)
What to watch:
Oil spiking toward $100+
Canadian dollar strength
Energy equities getting frisky
If the Strait gets shut, JPMorgan says that alone could be interpreted as a declaration of war.
So⌠yeah. No big deal.
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Markets are rattled.
The U.S. just bombed Iran.
Headlines are screaming, and price action is wild.
Perfect.
This is when real traders eatâwhen fear drives volume, and volatility creates opportunity.
If youâve been sitting on the sidelines waiting for things to âcalm down,â ask yourself:
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FOREX
đŻđľ BOJ Just Noped Out of the Bond Market
đŻđľ The Bank of Japan, once the worldâs most aggressive monetary expansionist, is now shrinking its bond holdings faster than any period in modern history, with a ÂĽ6.2 trillion decline in Q1 alone.
This is a foundational reordering of global liquidity assumptions. For decades,
â EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm)
12:00 PM ⢠Jun 19, 2025
The Bank of Japan â once the worldâs most aggressive money printer â is now selling bonds at a record pace. In Q1 alone, they dumped ÂĽ6.2 trillion worth.
Why it matters:
For decades, Japan quietly supported global markets by buying tons of bonds, suppressing yields, and keeping liquidity flowing. Now? Theyâre backing away⌠just as everyone else is freaking out over inflation, war, and deficits.
This isn't just Japan tightening. Itâs Japan saying: âWeâre out. Youâre on your own.â

đ§ Explain It Like Iâm 11:
Imagine Japan was the rich uncle who always loaned money when markets got dicey.
Now that uncle is retiring⌠and selling off his assets instead.
Translation: Less global liquidity, more volatility, and fewer buyers for bonds when the world needs them most.

What it means for the Yen:
Normally, JPY strengthens in risk-off environments. Itâs the âgo-toâ safe haven.
But this shift may break that pattern. Why?
The BOJ is signalling tightening, which can strengthen the yen short-term.
But losing their anchor role in global finance could scare off foreign capital.
Net result? Yen might be volatile â not safe. Watch how USD/JPY reacts when global stress hits.

Bottom line: The BOJ just fired the starting pistol on a global bond market regime change.
And if you donât have a clear thesis here, youâre not trading â youâre guessing.
MARKET OVERVIEW
đż Tasty Movers & Shakers
$TSLA ( âź 1.49% ) Tesla just soft-launched its long-teased Robotaxi service in Austin, charging a very on-brand $4.20 per ride. Yes, Elon still thinks heâs hilarious. Investors are watching closely, hoping this kicks off a new revenue stream without the full Uber drama.
$GOOGL ( Ⲡ1.43% ) Googleâs profits are so obscene theyâre basically printing money in the back. Viral charts this weekend showed $111B in net income. Thatâs enough cash to buy GameStop⌠twice⌠and still have change for some GPU farms. If youâre betting against them in AI, good luck.
$MCD ( Ⲡ1.95% ) McDonaldâs stock is still sliding, down another 5% last week. Reason? The dollar menu is now basically the $10 menu. One viral chart showed how prices have ballooned over the last 10 years â and letâs just say itâs not just the fries getting salty.
$TGT ( âź 0.87% ) Target is having its worst year since⌠well, forever. The stock is down 30% YTD, and itâs staring down its third straight quarterly decline â a streak it hasnât seen in over a decade. Turns out being the âniceâ Walmart isnât cutting it with consumers anymore.
PROP FIRMS
đ¤ Monday Motivation
Happy Sunday fam
As you sleep today, think about this payouts and hope you get yours soon
â Smart (@Tonysmart2_0)
6:19 PM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
đ Pre-Market Fuel
đŞ Munchy Memes
âTo my fellow Americans, the Iranians are quickly learning why Palantir trades at a beautiful 300x multipleâ
â litquidity (@litcapital)
3:44 AM ⢠Jun 22, 2025
Tesla fans following Robotaxis around Austin
â mr fundman (@mrfundman)
6:53 PM ⢠Jun 19, 2025
This is what trading does to a man.
â Trader Theory (@Trader_Theory)
12:42 PM ⢠Jun 15, 2025
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