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☕️ GM Munchers! The markets were so quiet yesterday, my wife made me clean up the yard—said it was the only thing with less volatility than my trading account.

On today’s menu:

  • 📈 Markets Yawn, Gold Shines & Wall Street Panics

  • 🙄 How Do You Know a Recession’s Coming? Coachella.

  • 🧵 3 Things Traders Should Watch This Week

  • 💰️ How Much Cash Is Warren Buffett Holding?

  • 🤯 Trump Freezes $2.2 Billion of Harvard Grants

BREAKING NEWS

📈 Markets Yawn, Gold Shines & Wall Street Panics

If last week was fireworks, yesterday was the smoke clearing.

Markets stayed relatively quiet yesterday, but the Dow still managed to gain 312 points (+0.78%) during the session.

The S&P 500 climbed +0.79%, and the Nasdaq Composite added +0.64%.

But while stocks chilled, gold kept strutting down the runway like it was Coachella headliner. Gold is now up over 1000% since 2000, compared to the S&P 500’s 485%.

Not to get dramatic, but gold’s performance makes the rest of us look like we’ve been trading with oven mitts on.

Why?

It’s all about dollar weakness.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down nearly 8% year-to-date, making gold cheaper for foreign buyers. As the dollar slides, investors slide into gold.

Even Wall Street seems to be waving the white flag:

  • Citi slashed its S&P 500 target from 6,500 → 5,800

  • JPMorgan: 6,500 → 5,200

  • Goldman Sachs: 6,500 → 5,700

  • Bank of America: 6,666 → 5,600

Meanwhile, Fed Governor Christopher Waller warned that tariffs are now one of the biggest shocks the U.S. economy has seen in decades.

If tariffs stick at 10%, inflation could peak around 3%.

But a 25% average?

That could push inflation up to 5% and drive unemployment to 5%.

So yes, it was a "quiet" day—but underneath the surface, even the Fed is sweating like it’s long on Peloton.

📊 Closing Stats:

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ECONOMY

🙄 How Do You Know a Recession’s Coming? Coachella.

Here’s a fun (read: horrifying) stat — 60% of general admission Coachella tickets were bought on Buy-Now-Pay-Later.

Yes, Coachella — the land of $18 lemonades, flower crowns, and overpriced nostalgia — is now on payment plans.

According to Billboard, GA tickets started at $499 (plus fees), and buyers were even hit with a $41 enrollment fee just to finance it.

If this sounds familiar, it should. Just a few weeks ago, we told you that Doordash now offers installment plans for your burritos.

If you’re wondering why this matters to traders, here’s the cheat code:

🧠 It’s all about risk sentiment. When consumers are so strapped for cash they need loans to party, that’s not exactly bullish.

Tight wallets mean weaker consumer spending.

Weak consumer spending means slower corporate earnings.

And slower earnings? That’s when risk gets re-priced.

And guess what usually performs well when consumers are broke and the market gets nervous?

Safe-haven currencies like the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen—and yes, our golden old friend gold. So while this Coachella stat may sound like a punchline, it’s actually a flashing warning light for traders.

If things get worse, risk-on assets (like growth stocks and crypto) could take a hit, and the market may start rotating into defense.

Bottom line? Watch the vibes.

Because when festival tickets go on layaway, recessions tend to RSVP shortly after.

TRADING101

🧵 3 Things Traders Should Watch This Week

Not a ton of headlines yesterday, but there’s still plenty to keep your eyes on. Here are a few stories worth diving into this week:

1. 🧠 Nvidia’s $500B U.S. Manufacturing Push

Nvidia announced plans to produce AI supercomputers entirely in the U.S. over the next 4 years, starting with facilities in Phoenix, Houston, and Dallas. It’s one of the largest AI infrastructure moves in history—and a sign that reshoring is real.

2. 📉 Bond Market Volatility

After last week’s monster move in yields (10-year up 50bps), U.S. Treasury yields eased slightly Monday. Traders should watch to see if this is a real reversal or just a breather.

3. 🧮 Fed Rate Path + Inflation

Waller outlined multiple tariff scenarios, ranging from mild to “get your bunker ready.” The Fed now sees inflation hitting 2.3% to 2.7%, depending on tariff levels. Markets should brace for more speeches this week, especially ahead of upcoming CPI/PPI data.

We’ll be covering all of this and more—because as traders, your job is to know when the party’s over, and when it’s just getting started.

PROP FIRMS

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