The Fed Is Praying Trump Doesn't Sign This. He Might Anyway.

For 50 years, Washington insiders have kept a secret that quietly stole the wealth of every working American.

They inflated the dollar into oblivion.

They printed trillions out of thin air.

They told you the stock market was your retirement plan — while they loaded up on hard assets.

Trump has been saying this for years. He's the only one with the backbone to do something about it.

And right now, there is growing talk inside Washington circles that he's preparing an executive order that the globalists, the central bankers, and the entire financial establishment have been dreading for decades.

→ Find out what Trump's potential executive order actually does — and why the Fed is terrified of it.

BREAKING NEWS

📉 Oil Falls Hard As Markets Search For Answers

Brent crude dropped 5.2% to $98.12 a barrel on reports that the US and Iran are moving toward a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market did not wait for confirmation. It sold oil first and asked questions later.

Here is the catch. Trump went on social media and said the deal is not fully negotiated and will not be rushed. The blockade stays in place until everything is signed and done. The war is not over. The oil drop is the market pricing in the hope that it might be soon. Those are two very different things.

And even if a deal lands tomorrow, do not expect instant relief at the pump. Global oil supplies have been draining at a record pace for months. You cannot fix that overnight. The price drop is real. The celebration is premature.

What traders should watch:

• A signed deal sends oil lower and stocks higher immediately. A breakdown sends oil straight back above $103 just as fast. This entire trade can flip on a single social media post.

• Check Trump's feed and State Department briefings every morning before markets open. This story is moving faster than any earnings report right now.

• Crude oil futures are the first number to look at each day. Where oil opens tells you everything about how the rest of the market is going to feel before the opening bell even rings.

The Munch Take: Oil dropped 5% on the hope of peace, not the fact of it. The blockade is still up. The deal is not signed. But things are moving in the right direction and markets are pricing that in. My wife looked at current gas prices, laughed, and said she still wants an electric car. I don’t blame her.

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THE MARKET WATCH

📈Record Highs Everywhere You Look

Markets are on an incredible run right now. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones both hit fresh all time highs last week, while the Nasdaq is closing in on 30,000. This is not a one day pop either. The S&P 500 has now posted eight straight winning weeks, its longest streak since late 2023, while the Nasdaq gained in seven of the last eight weeks. That is sustained momentum, not luck.

So why is everything going up at the same time?

• 🛢️ Oil is falling. Cheaper oil lowers costs for airlines, shipping companies, manufacturers, and eventually regular people at the pump. When oil drops, profit margins go up across the board. Wall Street loves that math.

• ✅ Company earnings have come in much stronger than expected. Tech especially is still printing money thanks to the AI boom. Investors are piling back into big tech and the numbers are backing them up.

• 🙏 Rate cut hopes are part of the rally story, but the real numbers tell a different tale. Polymarket currently puts the odds of zero rate cuts in 2026 at 66%. Just 20% chance of one cut. Only 8% for two. The market is rallying on the dream of cheaper borrowing costs while the actual odds say do not hold your breath. That gap between hope and reality is worth paying attention to.

Right now Wall Street is looking at the economy like a student who didn’t study and somehow still aced the exam. Oil is falling, profits are strong, and there’s still a slim chance of rate cuts. That is basically the dream setup for stocks. Traders are buying like risk stopped existing.

The Munch Take: All time highs feel great until you remember nothing has actually been resolved. The Iran deal is not signed. Oil is still above $98. Inflation is still sticky. The new Fed Chair has not made a single decision yet. The market is essentially throwing a party to celebrate problems that have not been fully solved. That might work out perfectly. It has before. But it has also ended badly before, and nobody knows which version this is until it is already over. Enjoy the green. Just don’t get too comfortable.

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