šŸ“‰ The Trade War Is Back

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ā˜•ļø GM Munchers! My wife said she wants ā€œmore stabilityā€ in our life… so I showed her my USD/CHF chart. She didn’t laugh. I did. Quietly. In the basement.

On today’s menu:

  • šŸ“‰ Market Mayhem: Tariffs, Rice, and Gold

  • šŸŽ¢ Meet the Trader Who Lost $28M in 24 Hours

  • šŸš€ Nvidia’s $256 Billion Move

  • āŒ Is This Prop Firm Banning Traders?

  • 🤯 This Stock Market Chart Is Crazy

Friday’s numbers:

S&P 500

5,802

-0.67%

Nasdaq

18,737

-1.00%

Dow Jones

41,603

-0.61%

Bitcoin

$109,301

+0.26%

BREAKING NEWS

šŸ“‰ The Trade War Is (Kinda) Back

Last Friday, Trump did what Trump does—lit the market on fire. He announced:

  • 50% tariffs on EU goods (starting June 1)

  • 25% tariffs on Apple

That erased $1.5 trillion of market cap in 5 days. And then?

Surprise twist: On Sunday, he hit CTRL+Z and pushed the EU tariffs back to July 9. Monday, he followed up with a tweet saying countries ā€œall over the worldā€ are begging to make trade deals with the U.S.

Translation: Markets are whipsawing on tweets again. Welcome back to 2019.

🧵 Plain-English Play: 

  • Apple could stay shaky until July 9.

  • Risk-off flows (gold, bonds) may hold firm as traders brace for the next tariff twist.

  • If Trump backpedals again, expect EUR and equity relief rallies.

šŸš Japan Enters Stagflation (With a Side of Rice)

Japan just posted:

  • +98.4% YoY surge in rice prices (biggest since 1971)

  • +3.5% CPI (5th straight month above 3%)

  • -0.7% GDP shrinkage in Q1

Translation: Inflation’s spiking. Growth is falling. The yen’s stuck in a game of monetary limbo.

🧵 Plain-English Play: 

  • If BoJ hikes rates to fight inflation, JPY could strengthen… but at the cost of more pain for stocks.

  • If they don’t, yen may weaken, adding fuel to import-driven inflation.

  • At the end of the day? You can’t effectively trade the JPY without keeping a close eye on what’s coming out of Japan.

šŸ„‡ Gold Closes at Record High

Gold just logged its highest weekly close ever at $3,342/oz.

Why?

  • Trade war = uncertainty

  • Japan = inflation

  • The U.S. bond market = anxiety attack

Investors are racing out of fiat and into hard assets. Even my wife’s Costco gold jewelry purchases are suddenly looking like alpha.

🧵 Plain-English Play: 

  • More risk-off headlines = higher gold

  • USD strength may slow gold momentum short-term, but long-term sentiment is shining bright

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MARKET OVERVIEW

šŸæ Tasty Movers & Shakers

$VLVOF ( ā–² 0.84% ) Volvo’s trimming 3,000 jobs to cut costs. Translation: margin preservation mode is officially in drive.

$CAC40 ( 0.0% ) French stocks bounced after Trump hit snooze on those EU tariffs. Germany’s $DAX ( ā–² 0.16% ) followed suit. Risk-on—until July 9, at least.

$NVDA ( ā–² 3.25% ) Earnings drop after Wednesday’s close. Options are pricing in a ±8% move—that’s a casual $256B swing, give or take the GDP of Portugal.

$DJT ( ā–¼ 3.07% ) Trump’s media SPAC is reportedly planning to raise $3 billion to bet big on crypto—Bitcoin included. Because nothing says campaign trail like a multi-billion dollar long.

$L.TSX ( ā–¼ 0.54% ) A Canadian judge just approved a $500M settlement against Loblaws for fixing bread prices. Turns out the ā€œ2 for $5ā€ deal came with some legal carbs.

CRYPTO

šŸŽ¢ Meet the Trader Who Lost $28M in 24 Hours

James Wynn—aka ā€œmoonpigā€ on Hyperliquid—just pulled off one of the most aggressive trades in on-chain Bitcoin history. And it didn’t end well.

Here’s the rundown:

  • After closing a $1.2B long with a major loss, Wynn flipped bearish and opened a $111.8M short using 40x leverage.

  • He scaled the short to $1 billion, effectively betting his entire $50M wallet on a BTC pullback.

  • His average entry was around $107,077, just as Bitcoin touched new all-time highs.

His reasoning?
Weak volume. An overextended 4-hour chart. A soft 50-day moving average. And, of course, macro—Trump’s new 50% tariff threat on the EU didn’t exactly scream ā€œrisk-on.ā€

The problem? Bitcoin didn’t care.

Despite briefly being up ~$3M, Wynn’s position reversed hard. Within a day, he closed all shorts at a $15–17M loss. Combined with his earlier long wipeout, that brings his 24-hour hit to nearly $28M.

Wynn’s trades were large enough to shake market sentiment, with many tracking his liquidation range between $110K and $149K. When those levels held, sentiment shifted—and Bitcoin rallied.

He’s since said he’s stepping away from trading (for now), still claiming $25M in cumulative profits.

Key takeaway:
Size doesn’t make you right. Sentiment, liquidity, and timing do. And if you’re using 40x leverage at a local top, you’re not trading the market—you’re gambling against gravity.

PROP FIRMS

āŒ Is This Prop Firm Banning Traders?

Check out the comments to this post and decide for yourself.

šŸŖ Munchy Memes

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