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At Pip Munch, we call that beautiful. 

📈 GM Munchers! This is Pip Munch, the newsletter that knows when to hit the brakes and when to hit the gas…

And guess what? We’re hitting the brakes soon.

It’s the last exciting trading week of the year. After this, the markets will go into full-on nap mode. You’ll find more life in a houseplant than on the charts.

But don’t get lazy yet—because this week is about to get spicy.

On today’s menu:

• Why This Is The Last Trading Week of 2024 😢 

• HISTORY: Bitcoin Makes A New ATH 📈 

• Microstrategy Buys Another $1.5 Billion of Bitcoin 🤯 

Why This Week Still Matters 🎢

Here’s the deal:

• The Fed meets this Wednesday at 2:00 PM EST.

• Jerome Powell takes the mic at 2:30 PM EST to give his usual calm-yet-cryptic speech.

• Markets are expecting the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points.

BUT… there’s a curveball: inflation.

CPI just came in at 2.7%, rising for the second month in a row. So, Jerome Powell has a decision to make:

1. Stick to the plan and cut rates to give the markets a holiday boost. 🎅

2. Pull the rug and sound hawkish because inflation isn’t playing nice.

Either way, the markets are going to move—and you don’t want to be caught napping.

What’s at Stake?

1️⃣ Stocks: Santa Rally or Grinch Drop?

• The S&P 500 is sitting pretty after a monster year. But here’s the thing—if Powell comes in hotter than expected, we could see a pullback.

• On the flip side, if he sticks to a 25bps cut and sounds chill, risk-on could send stocks soaring into year-end.

2️⃣ Gold: Ready to Shine? 🏆

• Rate cuts = weaker USD, which is gold’s favorite cheat code.

• XAU/USD has already been on fire this month, and if the Fed eases, gold could finish the year with a big bang.

3️⃣ FX & Crypto: Volatility Incoming 🚀

• A rate cut will likely put pressure on the U.S. dollar (DXY), creating opportunities for FX traders (think: EUR/USD, AUD/USD).

• Bitcoin’s been playing bounce-house for weeks now, but this Fed meeting could set the stage for a move higher… or trigger another liquidation storm.

Why the Markets Go Quiet After This 🛌

Once Jerome Powell wraps up his Q&A, that’s it. The markets will pack up, grab their coats, and head out early for Christmas.

Here’s what to expect:

• Low liquidity: Fewer traders, fewer moves, and some random spikes from algos with nothing better to do.

• Sideways action: Don’t expect trends—just chop.

• Everyone gets reflective: Traders stop trading and start journaling about what they “should’ve done differently” in 2024 (we’ve all been there).

What I’m Doing This Week 📈

1️⃣ Focus on Wednesday: I’m waiting for Powell’s speech before making any moves. The market always overreacts, and that’s where the opportunity lies.

2️⃣ Watching Gold and USD Pairs: If the Fed cuts rates and Powell sounds dovish, I’ll be ready to play gold or short the dollar.

3️⃣ Small Size, Tight Stops: This is the last real volatility of the year. I’m keeping it clean—no YOLO trades, no Hail Marys.

The Bottom Line

This is it, Munchers. The final week of 2024 where the markets still care. After Wednesday, it’s all holiday cheer, low liquidity, and Netflix marathons.

So stay sharp, watch what Powell says at 2:30 PM EST, and let’s make the most of these last moves.

The markets don’t wait, and neither should you.

Cheers,
Matt 📈

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☕️ Pre-Market Fuel

1. Bitcoin hits a new all-time high! 🚀 

2. Microstrategy just bought ANOTHER $1.5 billion of Bitcoin. They just don’t stop…

3. For the first time ever, a Bitcoin investor was sentenced to two years in prison for evading taxes. Yikes!

🍪 Munchy Memes

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