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☕️ Happy Monday, Munchers! At Pip Munch, the only thing dropping faster than our portfolio is our faith in politicians.

Here’s the scoop on everything that matters this week. Tariffs, stocks, Bitcoin, Trump tweets…you name it, we got it.

The full menu:

• 🔥 Tariff Countdown: Brace Yourself for Another Wild Week

• ✅ The Week’s Most Important Events: Inflation, Bank of Canada & PPI

• 🤑 How To Make $1,000 From Trading

• 🇺🇲 The Dollar’s Slide: Fed Cuts & Weak Data Push USD Lower

• 📉 Bitcoin Crashes To $80,000

• 🇨🇦 Canada Has A New Prime Minister

MARKET OVERVIEW

🇺🇸 Trump & Tariffs: Countdown to April 2

Tariffs are officially the market’s new favorite Netflix series—and President Trump just dropped another cliffhanger.

After temporarily hitting pause on 25% tariffs for Mexico and Canada, Trump made one thing clear this weekend:

“April 2nd, it becomes all reciprocal. What they charge us, we charge them.”

Translation? Brace yourselves—Tariff Wars: Episode II is about to premiere. 🍿

And today, Trump tossed more fuel on the fire, hinting tariffs “could go up” even more. He’s also casually not ruling out a recession, saying:

“There’s a period of transition…what we’re doing is very big.”

In Trump-speak, that basically means: buckle up, turbulence is incoming.

📉 Stocks Feeling the Burn

Stocks aren’t thrilled about Trump’s big plans, and the numbers prove it:

• S&P 500: Down nearly 5% in the last month

• Nasdaq: Down 7.7% in the last month, officially sliding into correction territory last week.

This market is shakier than a Jenga tower after three Red Bulls.

Traders tried to put in a bottom late Friday after a brutal week. But with tariffs looming, no one’s sure if we've hit the bottom or if we’re just catching our breath before the next plunge.

🔮 What to Expect This Week

• Tariff Countdown:
  We’re just weeks away from April 2 when reciprocal tariffs kick in. Expect markets to remain on edge—every Trump tweet is now an economic indicator.

• Crypto Caution:
  Traders hoping for the government to be a crypto whale are now rethinking their bets. Keep an eye on whether Bitcoin stabilizes around $80k or spirals further (more on that below).

• Stocks & Recession Warnings:
  With the Nasdaq already down over 7%, traders are watching closely to see if stocks can bounce or if recession fears drive the next leg lower.

This isn’t the week to sleep on your trades. 😴 

Stay sharp, keep your stops tight, and remember: volatility is the price we pay for the good stuff.

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WEEKLY PREVIEW

✅ Inflation, Bank of Canada & PPI

While you were out enjoying the weekend, I was busy arguing with my wife. Apparently, researching the week’s most important market events is not considered a valid excuse for missing Target.

So please, for the sake of my marriage—and your trading account—pay close attention.

Here's your cheat sheet for this week:

The must-watch events this week:

• Wednesday’s U.S. inflation report 🇺🇸 (expected drop from 3% to 2.9%)

• Bank of Canada interest rate decision 🇨🇦 (expected cut from 3% to 2.75%)

Why should traders care?

If inflation hits 2.9% or lower, Powell gets the green light to slash rates—which is exactly what everyone (yours truly included) is praying for.

👉️ Remember: When Powell cuts rates, markets usually pump—stocks and crypto rejoice.

But anything above 2.9%?

Expect markets to freak out, traders to panic, and my inbox to overflow with angry subscribers.

As for our neighbors to the north, another rate cut will likely keep the Canadian dollar weak. 🇨🇦

CRYPTO

📉 Bitcoin Crashes To $80,000

Bitcoin just face-planted to $80K, down over 17% in the last month alone. Ouch.

The culprit?

Trump's "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" turned out to be a nothing burger. ❌ 

Traders were expecting Uncle Sam to step in and buy Bitcoin with those big government bucks, but instead, the government just said they'd hold onto their seized crypto.

Turns out the government is the ultimate paper hands.

Now, traders are dumping Bitcoin faster than my wife dumps cash at Barnes & Noble. 😭

Why does this matter for you?

🔑 Because Bitcoin is the ultimate risk-on asset.

When it tanks, it’s usually a clear signal that traders are feeling nervous—and scared money doesn’t just avoid crypto; it avoids everything risky, from tech stocks to forex pairs.

So even if you don’t trade crypto, you need to keep one eye glued on Bitcoin.

If BTC doesn’t bounce soon, it could mean traders are strapping in for a rough ride ahead.

FOREX

🇺🇲 The Dollar’s Slide: Fed Cuts & Weak Data Push USD Lower

If your dollar bills feel lighter lately, you’re not imagining it.

The DXY (the dollar index) is sitting at 103.68, down nearly 6% since January’s peak. Why the big slide? Here’s the quick rundown:

1. Fed’s Gone Soft 🕊️
   Fed officials turned dovish, hinting at up to three rate cuts in 2025. Lower rates mean holding U.S. dollars isn't as attractive, pushing investors elsewhere.

2. The Economy is Limping 🚑
   February’s Nonfarm Payrolls disappointed (151K vs. 160K expected) and unemployment rose to 4.1%. Retail sales dropped 0.9% in January—another bearish sign.

3. Trump’s Tariff Drama 🎬
   Hints of new tariffs on Canada and potential global trade tension have markets on edge. And uncertainty is kryptonite for the dollar.

Remember: Markets move on expectations, not today's headlines. The Fed hasn’t cut rates yet, but the market's betting it will—and the dollar is already paying the price.

🚀 Pre-Market Fuel

1. 🇨🇳 China’s economy isn’t looking too hot. Both inflation and PPI are in the negative, signalling that government stimulus might be just around the corner.

2. 🤔 Trump versus the stock market. This is an interesting chart showing the differences in how the stock market has been performing compared to his first term.

3. 🇨🇦 Justin Trudeau officially steps down. The new prime minister of Canada is Mark Carney, who will be going up against the leader of the Conservative party later this year in Canada’s next election.

🍪 Munchy Memes

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