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Trump vs. The World: Tariffs, Tweets, and Market Moves šŸ¦…

From Trump’s tariff talk to stocks flirting with all-time highs—let’s break down the chaos and the plays.

Today's market breakdown is brought to you by Lark Funding—skip the challenges, trade instantly.

ā˜•ļø GM Munchers! It’s Pip Munch—bringing you the market moves hotter than the CPI print and scarier than your mother-in-law’s ā€œquick calls.ā€ šŸ“ˆšŸ“ž

On today’s menu:

  • Trump vs. The World: Tariffs, Tweets, and Market Moves šŸ¦…

  • Stocks Soar: What’s Driving the Rally (and Should You Chase It?) šŸš€ 

  • Will Canada Become The 51st State? šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¦

  • This Trading Influencer Made Over 93% šŸ¤‘

TRADE WAR

Trump vs. The World: Tariffs, Tweets, and Market Moves šŸ¦…

Markets got spicy, and guess who’s cooking? šŸ‘Øā€šŸ³

Yep, Donald J. Trump, back with tariffs hotter than a meme stock rally.

Let's break down what’s happening and how traders are playing this chaos.

What Just Happened:

  • Trump announced reciprocal tariffs—basically, ā€œYou charge us, we charge you.ā€ Fair play or trade war sequel?

  • New tariffs on steel and aluminum, with more on the way. Auto tariffs, anyone?

  • PPI report came in sticky, making the market rethink those sweet, sweet rate-cut dreams.

Despite all the drama, the S&P 500 rallied over 1%, just shy of its all-time high.

Why?

Because markets, like your ex, love to be confusing.

🚨 So, Why Are Traders Paying Attention?

  • Delays = Hope: Tariffs won’t hit until at least April, so markets are brushing it off for now. It's like knowing you’ll fail the test but enjoying the weekend first.

  • PPI Surprise: Producer prices stayed hot, but the market sees it as a potential win for the Fed’s favorite inflation measure (PCE), which could cool.

  • Earnings Flex: Nearly 70% of S&P 500 companies are beating expectations. Even Robinhood (HOOD) popped after a solid earnings report, while Reddit (RDDT) face-planted on weak user growth.

šŸ“ˆ How Traders Are Positioning:

Our intern—who thinks every trading strategy should be a TikTok trend—has been scalping this madness with shorter timeframes. He says:

ā€œBig headlines, small grabs—30 pips at a time. Less diamond hands, more paper cuts.ā€ šŸ’°

āš ļø What Happens Next? Here Are 3 Plays:

  1. 🧨 The Tariff Tease Trade:
    Markets may rally on hope if reciprocal tariffs get delayed or softened. But if auto tariffs enter the chat, watch for volatility in USD/CAD and USD/JPY. These pairs are already moving—USD/JPY dropped 166 pips on the news.

  2. šŸ’Ž The Earnings Boost Bounce:
    With most companies beating earnings estimates, S&P 500 and Nasdaq could break new highs. But if PCE data hits hot, brace for a pullback—Powell’s rate-cut dreams will evaporate faster than your stop-loss on NFP day.

  3. šŸ“Š The Commodities Chaos:
    Steel and aluminum tariffs could boost U.S. producers—watch stocks like Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) and U.S. Steel (X). Meanwhile, USD/CAD is feeling the heat, down 117 pips after Canada and Mexico got tariffed back to 2018 levels.

šŸ’” Bottom Line:

This market is a mess—in a good way. Opportunities are everywhere, but you gotta grab what’s in front of you. As our intern says:

ā€œWhen the news hits, don’t marry the trade—just date it for 30 pips.ā€

šŸ“‰ Now, over to you—are you trading this chop or watching from the sidelines?

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STOCKS

Stocks Soar: What’s Driving the Rally (and Should You Chase It?) šŸš€

The S&P 500 is ripping and brushing up against all-time highs.

Traders are piling in faster than my wife into a HomeGoods clearance sale.

But why the sudden pump?

And more importantly—should you be riding this wave or waiting for the wipeout?

Let’s dive in.

šŸ“ˆ Why Are Stocks Pumping? Here’s What’s Fueling the Fire:

  1. Big Tech Is Carrying the Team šŸ‹ļø
    Big Tech is driving this rally—Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), and Tesla (TSLA) are carrying the load. Nvidia’s AI hype is blazing, and Tesla’s surge has traders wondering if Elon finally found the autopilot button for his tweets.

  1. Trump’s Tariffs? Market’s Like… ā€˜We’ll Worry Later.’ šŸ¦…
    Trump threatened new tariffs, but since they won’t hit until April, the market decided to party now, panic later. Investors are hoping negotiations will water down the impact.

  2. Rate Cut Hopium Lives On šŸ’Š
    CPI and PPI both came in hot, but traders are still clinging to their favourite bedtime story: ā€œPowell Will Pivot.ā€ Why? Because ignoring the Fed is basically a market tradition.

šŸ’” So, Should You Chase This Rally?

Before you go full FOMO, let’s break down three possible endings to this story:

  1. 🧨 The Blow-Off Top:

    The market melts up on hopium... until reality checks the vibes. Look for wild swings and quick reversals. If you’re scalping, shorter timeframes and tight stops are your best friends.

  2. šŸ“Š The Earnings-Powered Climb:

    If Big Tech earnings keep delivering, this rally could grind higher for weeks. In that case, watch for sector rotations—tech now, but financials and industrials could be next to pop.

  3. šŸ›‘ The Inflation Rug Pull:

    If PCE or Powell’s next speech comes in hot, brace for impact. Sticky inflation = no rate cuts = screaming charts and crying traders. In that scenario, keep an eye on the dollar and gold for safety plays.

šŸ‘Š The Trader’s Playbook:

  • šŸŽÆ Scalpers: Focus on shorter timeframes. The chop is your playground.

  • šŸ’Ž Swing Traders: Wait for breakouts or pullbacks. No chasing!

  • 🚨 Position Traders: Watch the Fed calendar—big moves will come with data.

šŸ“£ Bottom Line:

This rally’s hot, but don’t let it burn you.

Trade smart, stay nimble, and—most importantly—keep your risk tighter than my budget after my wife’s last ā€œquickā€ Target run.

What do you think of today's edition?

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šŸš€ Pre-Market Fuel

  1. Will Canada become the 51st state? Trump says it’s time for Canada to pay up. šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¦ 

  2. Michael Saylor just met with the president of El Salvador. What are they cooking up? šŸ‘€ 

  3. This trading influencer made over 93% on his account. And it’s a proven track record! 🤯 

šŸŖ Munchy Memes

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