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☕️ GM Munchers! Skipped the Super Bowl to write this. Before you thank me for my dedication, you should know I'm the guy who thinks a "blitz" is what happens to my portfolio during earnings season. Plus, golf is way better.

On today’s menu:

• 📉 Friday’s Insane Market Rally

• 😏 Crypto's Violent Snapback

• 🇯🇵 Japan's New PM Might Nuke the Yen

• 🏈 Under Armour Goes Parabolic

• ⚠️ This Week: Economic Data Tsunami

Friday’s numbers:

BREAKING NEWS

🚀 Friday's Rally: When Markets Remember Spending = Revenue

The market spent all week freaking out about Amazon and Meta spending hundreds of billions on AI. Then Friday morning, someone apparently had coffee, did the math, and realized something important: when Amazon spends $200 billion, that money doesn't vanish into thin air—it goes directly into someone else's pocket.

The Result:

• Amazon: down ~5%

• Nvidia: up ~8%

This pulled the entire tech sector back from the brink and for the first time in history, the Dow hit 50,000.

Why it matters: Breaking a milestone like 50K triggers algorithmic buying and FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out). It becomes self-fulfilling—price drives more buying, which drives more price. Trump immediately predicted the Dow will hit 100,000 by end of his term, which just added jet fuel to the fire.

The Munch Take: This turnaround is wild, and we're here for it. Will it last? Nobody knows. But real talk: the Dow hitting 100,000 in three years wouldn't be the flex Trump thinks it is. That's not value creation—that's just inflation with better marketing. Sorry to ruin the party.

₿ Crypto's Violent Snapback (Don't Call It a Comeback)

Crypto woke up Friday and chose peace, exploding higher in a classic "relief rally." Same good vibes that shoved the Dow to 50,000.

What Happened:

After Bitcoin tested $60,000 and our collective sanity, prices bounced hard once the panic sellers finished dumping.

Why the bounce?

• Traders using borrowed money (leverage) were forced to sell earlier in the week.

• By Friday, roughly $700 million to $1 billion in positions got wiped out.

• Once those forced sellers were gone, nobody was left pushing prices down. Bitcoin jumped back to $70,000—up 11% from the lows.

The Big Winners:

• MicroStrategy (MSTR): Up 24% (moves 2-3x faster than Bitcoin)

• XRP: Up 18-24% (oversold bounce)

• Coinbase (COIN): Up 10%

The Munch Take: We’re still down ~20% on our Bitcoin position, but this is a good start. It’s all thanks to a technical bounce, not new crypto news. This could be just a “Dead Cat Bounce” - a temporary recovery before more pain. Watch tech stocks to see where crypto is headed next.

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FOREX

🇯🇵 Japan's New PM Might Nuke the Yen

Japan's new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, just secured a landslide victory in Sunday's snap election, giving her a "supermajority" mandate to unleash aggressive spending and loose money policies.

Why the Yen's in Trouble:

Takaichi is a dove who loves fiscal stimulus and low interest rates. Meanwhile, the U.S. has Kevin Warsh (a hawk) pushing for higher rates. This policy divergence is a Yen death sentence—money flows where rates are higher (the U.S.), crushing JPY against the dollar.

The Trade:

• Investors are selling Yen and buying Japanese stocks. Takaichi famously said "A weak yen is a major opportunity" for exporters like Toyota and Sony.

• Translation: she's fine watching the currency crater if it boosts corporate profits. Watch USD/JPY, it just might climb to 160.

MARKET OVERVIEW

🍿 Tasty Movers & Shakers

Gold officially reclaimed $5,000/oz and silver clawed back above $80/oz in pre-market trading during the Super Bowl. Apparently precious metals don't take days off for football. We're in for a wild week.

Maybe Buffett was right? Berkshire's stock outperformed the S&P 500 last week, with B shares climbing 5.7%. Turns out sitting on $350 billion in cash looks less like paranoia and more like a liferaft when everyone else is drowning in volatility.

🏈 $UAA Under Armour had an absolutely bonkers Friday, rocketing 20.54% after posting a surprise quarterly profit and issuing full-year earnings guidance double what Wall Street expected. Nothing says "we're back" quite like beating expectations by 100%.

🚀 $MSTR MicroStrategy staged a massive comeback, surging 26% as Bitcoin recovered and temporarily distracted everyone from their $12.6 billion Q4 loss. Leverage: it works both ways, and violently.

⭐️ SpaceX IPO speculation: Prediction markets are giving it a 44% chance that SpaceX closes day one of trading at a $2 trillion market cap. If that happens, Elon Musk becomes a trillionaire. Because apparently billionaire just wasn't enough of a flex.

OUTLOOK

⚠️ This Week: Economic Data Tsunami

Buckle up. The government shutdown is compressing two weeks of major economic data into just three days. Normally Jobs Report and CPI happen separately. This week? We get both.

Wednesday, Feb 11: Jobs Report

• Expected: 80,000 jobs added, unemployment at 4.4%

• The risk: Over 150K kills rate cut hopes. Negative number = recession panic.

Friday, Feb 13: CPI (Inflation)

• Expected: Core inflation up 0.3% month-over-month

• Anything higher triggers massive sell-off in stocks and bonds

Key Earnings:

• Coinbase (Thu): Crypto market proxy

• Shopify (Wed): Small business health check

• Coca-Cola & Kraft Heinz: Watch for pricing power comments

The Munch Take: The big tech companies reported last week, but there’s plenty on the agenda this week to shake things up. The data is going to dictate how many 2026 rate cuts we’re going to get, which is all the market cares about.

TRADING SUCCESS

🤑 Monday Motivation

🚀 Pre-Market Fuel

1. 🤑 Seriously, stop trading your small account.

2. ✅ Key events this week.

3. 👀 Rent prices continue to drop.

4. 🇨🇦 The Canadian labour market isn’t looking good.

5. 🤯 How much Super Bowl ads have cost through the years.

🍪 Munchy Memes

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