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☕️ GM Munchers! If I had the market's resilience, I'd be crushing life. Instead, my wifi went out for 47 seconds this morning and I immediately spiralled into existential dread. The S&P shrugs off bombs. I panic when my phone hits 18% battery. We are not operating on the same level.

On today’s menu:

• 📈 War Can't Break This Market

• 🛢️The One Thing That Could Actually Tank This Market

• 👴 Berkshire Didn’t Get The Memo

• 🤑 Will Gold Hit $8,000?

Yesterday’s numbers:

BREAKING NEWS

📈 War Can't Break This Market

Well, a full-blown war isn’t enough to crash the stock market. In fact, it wasn’t enough for it to even close in the red. Absolutely incredible.

The day started with most things tanking but that didn’t last long until we had a full rebound.

Here’s what happened:

1. Quit Exit: Even though Trump said the U.S. will be in Iran for at least 4 to 5 weeks, the market is acting like this is Venezuela AKA that we’re nowhere near WW3. Nobody thinks this is going to last long.

2. Metals Get Dumped: As a result, metals absolutely crashed. In just two hours, we saw silver drop 7%. In 60 minutes, gold dropped $100/oz. The smart money and everybody in between decided that the world isn’t actually ending.

3. Bitcoin Confirms It: Bitcoin climbed over 5%, which is the ultimate "risk-on" signal. When traders think World War III is starting, they dump speculative assets like Bitcoin for cash. Bitcoin rallying means they're betting the conflict stays contained.

Even Israel’s stock market hit a new all-time high.

The biggest winners out of all of this? Defence stocks.

• Palantir ($PLTR) climbed over 5%.

• Drone-maker AeroVironment ($AVAV) skyrocketed almost 18%.

The Munch Take: The vibes can shift on a dime and considering Trump has said “we haven’t even started in Iran”, the market might be getting too optimistic, too fast. But our portfolios are happy, for now.

🛢️ The One Thing That Could Actually Tank This Market

While the market's acting unbothered like my wife when I drop her off at a bookstore with no time limit, there's one risk that could ruin everything: Iran just officially closed the Strait of Hormuz.

Here's why this matters:

1. 20% of global oil flows through that strait. That's 20 million barrels per day. It's now shut.

2. Oil spiked 7% yesterday to $77/barrel. If this doesn't get resolved fast, we're looking at $100+ oil, which hasn't happened since 2022.

3. $100 oil destroys consumer spending. When families pay $5-$6/gallon at the pump, they stop spending at restaurants, retail stores, and vacations. The economy grinds to a halt.

I like having gas in my car. You probably do too. That's not changing, but how much it costs to fill the tank? That could change drastically if this strait stays closed.

The Munch Take: This is the one thing to watch. If it reopens quickly, we're fine. If it stays closed for weeks? Start practicing your walking commute because gas prices are about to make everyone's budget explode.

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STOCKS

✈️ Airline Stocks Just Got Obliterated (The Double-Whammy)

If you're holding airline stocks, yesterday was an absolutely brutal day to check your portfolio. The entire aviation sector just ate a devastating double-whammy thanks to Middle East chaos.

Why Airlines Are Getting Destroyed:

1. The Fuel Shock: Crude oil spiking 6-8% is terrible news for airlines. Jet fuel is their single biggest expense, roughly 20-21% of total costs. When fuel skyrockets overnight, profit margins evaporate instantly.

2. The Airspace Nightmare: Military strikes forced the closure of massive Middle Eastern airspace and major hubs like Dubai and Doha. Over 4,000 flights have been cancelled worldwide since the weekend. Aircraft and crews are scattered across the globe in completely wrong locations. Analysts called it a "nightmare scenario," which in airline industry speak means "we're cooked."

The Carnage:

• American Airlines: Down 4.2%

• United Airlines: Down 2.9%

• Delta: Down 2.2%

• AirAsia X: Plunged 12%

• Qantas: Dropped 10%

The Munch Take: Airlines need cheap fuel and open skies. They currently have neither. If you're long airline stocks, you're basically hoping this resolves fast. If it doesn't? Buckle up. It’s going to be a bumpy ride.

MARKET OVERVIEW

🍿 Tasty Movers & Shakers

👴 $BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway didn't get the "everything rallies" memo yesterday and tanked 5%. For a boring value stock, that's basically a meteorite strike. Shareholders are learning in real-time that they might've been paying for the wizard, not the business.

📱 $AAPL Apple just announced the iPhone 17e for $599, launching March 11th. The "e" stands for "we've completely run out of ideas and are just adding random letters now." Next year they're releasing the iPhone 18Ω because why not throw Greek symbols into the mix. Innovation is dead but at least it's affordable.

🍚 It was a brutal day for rice enthusiasts. LT Foods face-planted 10.5% after traders realized Iran is a massive buyer of basmati rice. With shipping lanes locked down, exporters just lost one of their biggest markets. It's fine, though. Jasmine rice is superior anyway and I will die on this hill.

😂 $NVDA Not even a Middle East war can stop Nvidia from throwing billions at random companies. They just dropped $2 billion into Coherent and Lumentum. Ever heard of them? Neither have we. The stock rallied 3% anyway because apparently Nvidia could invest in a lemonade stand and Wall Street would call it "strategic diversification."

💉 Healthcare Junkies Rejoice Rallybio absolutely ripped 45% on news it's acquiring Candid Therapeutics to expand into autoimmune T-cell therapies. Let me be totally candid, I don't own the stock, but boy do I wish I did. That pun was free. The gains were not.

TRADING SUCCESS

🤑 Tuesday Motivation

🚀 Pre-Market Fuel

1. 🤯 JP Morgan just said they think gold will hit $8,000.

2. 😬 4.8% of all household debt is now delinquent.

3. 📉 Every Mag 7 stock is down this year.

4. 🏘️ Dubai real estate is crashing.

🍪 Munchy Memes

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