Here's the Best Day to Buy Nvidia

Did you know Nvidia has a 93% history of soaring, beginning on one particular day every single spring?

We call this the "Green Day phenomenon." It works on 5,000 stocks.

For example, Amazon has a 100% history of soaring beginning on one particular day every single year.

Click here to see the green days for 5 major stocks today.

BREAKING NEWS

⚔️ Apple vs. Nvidia: The $5 Trillion Dollar Showdown

For about two years, the world's most valuable company crown mostly belonged to Nvidia, the AI chip king. But last Friday, Apple snatched it back for a few hours, and the two have been swapping the number one spot ever since like kids fighting over the front seat.

Here’s how tight it is right now: Nvidia sits at about $4.912 trillion, Apple right behind at $4.901 trillion. That is a gap of just $11 billion between them, which sounds like a lot until you remember these companies are worth nearly $5 trillion each. It’s a rounding error. Nvidia is on top today, but blink and that could change again.

And Apple has been on an absolute tear to get here. The stock is up 57% over the past year, recently touching a fresh all-time high around $335.

How did Apple catch the AI king?

• 🍎 Apple played it cool. The stock is up about 23% this year, the best of all the big tech giants, because it’s keeping its AI spending low and its mountain of cash high.

• 🤖 Nvidia hit the brakes. The AI chip king is up just 7% this year, stalling out as investors got nervous about whether the huge AI spending spree will ever pay off.

• 🔄 The result? A gap of roughly $1.35 trillion disappeared in just two months. Apple didn’t gain $1.35 trillion by itself - the lead vanished because Apple kept rising while Nvidia largely stalled. That is one of the fastest swings ever between the world's two most valuable companies.

• Special Report: 5 Stocks Heading Into Their Best Months of the Year (Via Market Rising)

The Munch Take: Remember when everyone said Apple was "falling behind" in AI because it was not spending like crazy? Look who is laughing now. This is the market's mood swinging in real time. A few months ago it rewarded the company spending the most on AI. Today it is rewarding the one keeping its wallet closed and actually making money. Neither company changed much. The crowd's feelings did. Apple reports earnings July 30, so we will see if this crown fits.

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THE MARKET WATCH

🎭 Is the S&P 500 Fooling You?

Here's a head-scratcher about the stock market. If you only looked at the S&P 500, you might think things look pretty stable despite recent ups and downs. But peek under the hood and it's a totally different story.

The index has kept climbing even when tons of individual stocks are getting crushed. In fact, roughly one-quarter of S&P 500 companies are down more than 20% from their 52-week highs. The top-line number is hiding the reality of what’s happening below the surface.

• 🏆 A few giants do all the work (just a handful of mega-winners like $AAPL carry the whole thing)

• 📉 Most stocks are struggling (plenty of companies are having a rough time even as the index climbs)

• 🎭 The headlines lie (what you see on TV doesn't match what's happening to most stocks)

• Special Report: Here’s the best day to buy Nvidia (Via TradeSmith)

So how can the big indexes hold up when plenty of stocks are struggling? A few giant winners like $AAPL have become so enormous that they're doing most of the heavy lifting. When the biggest companies keep climbing, they can pull the entire index higher even if other stocks are having a rough time.

The opportunity hiding in plain sight

Let's zoom in on $MSFT Microsoft. Down around 23% over the past year, sitting near $394 a share after peaking above $555 last summer. This is a perfect example of how even mega cap tech names can struggle. Despite its leadership in AI through OpenAI and strong cloud infrastructure, the stock has faced serious headwinds.

Translation: Even companies doing everything right can get hammered when sentiment shifts.

Here's the number people keep missing. Microsoft's price to earnings ratio just dropped to about 23. That's almost exactly where the stock traded during the COVID crash bottom in March 2020. Back then the multiple snapped back into the low thirties within a year. This time the business is bigger, more profitable, and still growing double digits.

Here's what makes it interesting right now:

• 💰 Cash and cloud: Azure grew 40% last quarter and Microsoft's committed backlog jumped 99% to $627 billion, a demand signal that dwarfs the current stock price action.

• 📉 Cheap by its own history: The forward P/E sits around 20, well below its 3 year and 5 year averages near 32.

• 🏦 Everywhere embedded: Azure, Office 365, LinkedIn, and GitHub keep Fortune 500 companies and startups locked into the ecosystem, and the company still pays a steady dividend.

• Special Report from ProfitsRun: Your free book is about to expire (usually $29.97)

When a dominant player with fortress economics sells off this hard, contrarian investors start paying attention. If you're building a watch list, pullbacks in quality names like this are worth watching, especially when the underlying business fundamentals remain intact.

The Munch Take: This is the big secret the headlines hide. "The market" is not one thing. It's a giant crowd of very different stories. When a friend says "the market is at all-time highs," that doesn't mean your stocks are. A handful of mega-winners can mask a whole lot of pain underneath. It's like a team winning every game because of two superstar players while the rest of the roster struggles. The top-line number looks great, but it's not telling you the whole story of what's happening on the field.

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