Happy Monday, Larkers! This is Lark Digest, the trading newsletter that’s way more stable than the current US political environment. 🇺🇲

On today’s menu:

• Will Trump’s Assassination Attempt Crash The Market? 📉 

• A new promotion is now live! 🤑 

• Another firm just filed for bankruptcy. ❌ 

🚨📉 Will Trump’s Assassination Attempt Crash The Market?

Larkers, brace yourselves.

Two days ago, there was an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump. Now, before you panic and hit the sell button faster than a trader on non-farm payroll day, let's take a stroll down history lane and see how the market has handled such shocks before.

Historical Data Speaks 📜🔍

Assassination attempts and successful assassinations have indeed rattled the US in the past, but how have they impacted the stock market and the US Dollar?

Let’s dive in:

1. JFK’s Assassination (1963)

• Immediate Reaction: The stock market was closed immediately after JFK was shot. When it reopened, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped 2.89%.

• Short-term Impact: The market quickly rebounded, recovering within a few days.

• Long-term Impact: The economy continued its trajectory without significant long-term disruption.

2. Ronald Reagan’s Assassination Attempt (1981)

• Immediate Reaction: The market had a brief dip but recovered within the same trading session.

• Short-term Impact: Minimal impact on both the stock market and the US Dollar.

• Long-term Impact: No significant long-term effects were noted.

3. Abraham Lincoln’s Assassination (1865)

• Immediate Reaction: The market had limited data back then, but historical records suggest a brief drop in Northern financial markets.

• Short-term Impact: Quick recovery as the country focused on Reconstruction.

• Long-term Impact: The market stabilized without lasting effects from the assassination.

What Does This Mean For Us? 🤔💭

Here’s the deal: History suggests that while assassination attempts and political shocks do cause immediate market jitters, they rarely lead to long-term financial doom. Here are a few Lark Takeaways for you:

1. Don’t Panic, Stay Informed: Immediate market reactions can be dramatic, but history shows they often stabilize quickly. Of course, keep an eye on the news but we don’t expect anything too wild.

2. Watch For Policy Changes: The real impact on the market often comes from subsequent policy changes or economic measures. Will Biden stay in the race? How safe is Trump? What are the economic implications of Trump surging in the polls?

3. Market Sentiment: It’s all going to come down to market sentiment. What’s Mr.Market feeling? If investors are looking for stability, we could see inflows into Gold, USD and even bonds.

Of course, just remember to stay safe out there (you, too, Mr.Trump).

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☕️ Pre-Market Fuel

1. Funded Engineer files for bankruptcy.

2. How to turn $500 into $1 million in just 11 trades. Trust us, though, this can’t be done (we’ve tried).

3. Will home prices crash when inflation hits 2%? See what Jerome Powell had to say.

4. Trump is surging in the polls. By a ton.

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